Page 394 - Hydrocarbon Exploration and Production Second Edition
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Risk Analysis                                                         381


                  BG
                                        multiple discrete concepts
               MS    MD









                                              scenarios




                                                                         resolved
                                                          resolved by     using
                      built with geostatistical simulations
                                                            material     a simple
                                                            balance     well model
                  Q            Q            Q             Q            Q

                           t             t           t             t            t
                       1            2            3            4            5


             Figure 15.18  Multiple deterministic, or scenario-based approach.



                    1









                   0.5









                    0
                     0      200    400     600    800    1000   1200   1400
                                           reserves (MMstb)

             Figure 15.19  Range of multiple deterministic cases for UR.
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