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                                    Agency (U.S. EPA) intends to control exposure to toxic substances with risk levels
                                                       –4
                                                 –7
                                    ranging from 10  to 10  (0.00001 to 0.01%) throughout life (Masters, 1991).
                                       Environmental Risk Assessment is a process for determining the probability for
                                    negative effects on human health or the environment as a result of exposure to one
                                    or more physical, chemical or biological agents. ERA requires knowledge about the
                                    negative effects of exposure to chemical substances or materials, as well as knowl-
                                    edge about the intensity and duration necessary for these to cause negative effects
                                    on population and the environment. Decision-making within sound risk management
                                    entails examining the various choices for risk reduction. The risk assessment scope
                                    is generally local; environmental impacts are presented in the  form of risk per
                                    researched recipient because it is the case with the  value for  exposure to toxic
                                                                              –7
                                                                                    –4
                                    substances at levels entailing a risk ranging from 10  to 10  throughout life.
                                       Environmental risk assessment will be explained in detail in Chapter 4.
                                    1.5.4.3  Impact Pathway Analysis (IPA)

                                    Contrary to this approach, the Impact Pathway Analysis (IPA) estimates the overall
                                    damage, including even relatively small contributions, in locations more than 1000
                                    km away from the source of emissions. The damage is presented in the form of
                                    costs, but because these costs are not included in the price of the product or service
                                    responsible for the emissions, they are known as external costs.
                                       An example of an IPA scheme is shown in Figure 1.5. After the location and
                                    technology producing the pollutant have been selected, Phase 1  deals with the
                                    calculation of emissions and the plant’s demand for resources. Phase 2 concerns the
                                    distribution of emissions to several recipients. The following phases consider the
                                    transition processes and impact assessments, for example, a bad fruit crop or higher
                                    incidence of asthma attacks. Once all physical impacts have been calculated, eco-
                                    nomic assessments are applied to the impacts to estimate damages in currency
                                    amounts (euros, dollars, yens). Impact pathway analysis is explained as a special
                                    form of ERA at the end of Chapter 4.



                                                  Units           Phases         Examples
                                                   kg            Emission         Particles
                                                               Transportation    Changes in
                                                  g/m?                           conentration
                                                                of pollutants
                                                   g/d        Natural processes  Deposition in the
                                                                              respiratory system
                                                Number of         Impact          Asthma
                                                 patients

                                                  Euros          Damage        Change in health
                                    FIGURE 1.5 Impact pathway analysis (IPA) scheme. (Adapted from European Commission
                                    — DGX11),  ExternE –  Externalities of Energy, ECSC-EC-EAEC, Brussels-Luxembourg,
                                    1995.)


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