Page 200 - Intermediate Statistics for Dummies
P. 200

16_045206 ch10.qxd  2/1/07  10:14 AM  Page 179
                                                            Chapter 10: Pairing Things Down with Multiple Comparisons
                                          Figure 10-1:
                                                                      Individual 95% CIs For Mean Based on
                                              Basic
                                                                                Pooled StDev
                                            statistics
                                                                                 ––––––+–––––––––+–––––––––+–––––––––+–––
                                                                   Mean
                                                              N
                                                                          StDev
                                                    Level
                                                and
                                                             10

                                                                 748.00
                                                                                                             (–*–)
                                                    Group 1


                                                                          64.60
                                                             10
                                                                          59.08
                                                    Group 2
                                                                                             (–*–)
                                                                 368.00
                                          confidence
                                                                          64.99
                                                                                                             (–*–)
                                                                 657.00
                                                             10
                                                    Group 3
                                          intervals for
                                                                          62.41
                                                             10
                                                    Group 4
                                                                 125.00
                                                                                 (–*–)
                                             the cell-
                                                                                 ––––––+–––––––––+–––––––––+–––––––––+–––

                                                                                     200        400       600       800



                                          phone data.
                                                    a p-value of 0.000, meaning it is less then 0.001. That says at least two of these
                                                    groups have a significant difference in their cell-phone use (see Chapter 9 for
                                                    info on the F-test and its results).
                                          Figure 10-2:  Looking at Figure 10-2, the F-test for equality of all four population means has  179
                                                    One-way ANOVA: Group 1, Group 2, Group 3, Group 4
                                             ANOVA
                                           results for  Source  DF    SS     MS      F     P
                                                    Factor    3  2416010  805337  204.13  0.000
                                           comparing
                                                    Error    36   142030   3945
                                           cell-phone  Total  39  2558040
                                          use for four
                                                    S = 62.81   R–Sq = 94.5%   R–Sq(adj) = 93.99%
                                          age groups.
                                                    Okay, so what’s your next question? You just found out that the average
                                                    number of cell-phone minutes per month isn’t the same across these four
                                                    groups. Remember, this doesn’t mean all four groups are different (see Chap-
                                                    ter 9). However, it does mean that at least two groups are significantly differ-
                                                    ent in their cell-phone use. So your questions are: Which groups are different,
                                                    and how are they different?
                                                    Determining which populations have differing means after ANOVA has been
                                                    rejected involves a new data-analysis technique called multiple comparisons.
                                                    While many different multiple comparison procedures are out there, statisti-
                                                    cians have their favorites, which I present in the next section.
                                                    Don’t attempt to explore the data with a multiple comparison procedure if the
                                                    test for equality of the populations isn’t rejected. In this case, you must con-
                                                    clude that you don’t have enough evidence to say the population means aren’t
                                                    equal, so you must stop there. Always look at the p-value of the F-test on the
                                                    ANOVA output before moving on to conduct any multiple comparisons.
   195   196   197   198   199   200   201   202   203   204   205