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116                                               5 Time-Series Analysis

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                                          Time

            Fig. 5.16  Visualization of the recurrence plot after applying a threshold of  ε=10 to the
            distance matrix.




            The analysis of recurrence plots has already been applied to many problems
            in earth sciences. The comparison of the dynamics on modern precipitation
            data with paleo-rainfall data inferred from annual-layered lake sediments in
            the northwestern Argentine Andes provides a good example of such analy-
            sis (Marwan et al. 2003). In this example, the method of recurrence plots
            was applied to red-color intensity transects across ca. 30 kyr-old varved
            lake sediments shown in Figure 5.1. Comparing the recurrence plots from
            the sediments with the ones from modern precipitation data revealed that
            the reddish layers document more intense rainy seasons during the La Niña
            years. The application of linear techniques was not able to link the increased
            flux of reddish clays and enhanced precipitation to either the El Niño or La

            Niña phase of the ENSO. Moreover, recurrence plots helped to prove the
            hypothesis that a longer rainy seasons, enhanced precipitation and stronger
            influence of the El Niño/Southern Oscillation has caused enhanced landslid-

            ing at 30 kyrs ago (Marwan et al. 2003, Trauth et al. 2003).
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