Page 58 - Managing Global Warming

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Net emissions (Gt(C) year –1 )
Target cum emissions
Cumulative emissions (Gt(C))
Emissions (Gt(C) year –1 )
GGR (Gt(C) year –1 )
in 2057. by zero to reduce and 2017 in peak 2025—emissions Annual and cumulative emissions Peak GGR 1.5 Gt(C) year –1 in 2035 projections 2014–2100 900 15 –1 800 700 10 600 500 5 400 Carbon intensity (%pa reduction Gt(C)/EJ ) 300 0 200 Cumulative emissions (Gt(C)) 100 Annual emissions/
starting 2100 2090
GGR 2080 TFC/year (EJ)
1.5Gt(C)/yr Annual energy projections 2014–2100 2070 2060 ZEE/year (EJ)

+ 2050
CIR 2040
25% 2030 FF/year (EJ)

+ 2020
ZEE 800 600 400 200 0 2010
—cont’d 1.5°C: 1800 1600 1400 1200 1000 Total final consumption (EJ)

2.2 15: +1.5°C ZEE index 14
Box Scenario