Page 36 - Marine Structural Design
P. 36

Chapter I Introduction                                                 13


                   Corrosion resulted defects may significantly reduce ultimate strength and fatigue strength of
                   the  structures.  Various  mathematical models  have  been  developed  to  predict  the  future
                   corrosion development in  structures such as pipelines, risers and plating.  Various methods
                   have been applied by the industry to measure the amount, locations and shape of the corrosion
                   defects, as all these are crucially important for strength and fatigue assessment.
                   In  many  cases,  the  use  of  nonlinear  analysis  of  loads  and  structural  response  and
                   risklreliability methods is required to filly utilize the design margins. The re-qualification may
                   be  conducted using the  strength and  fatigue formulations,  and  the risWreliability methods
                   discussed in this book.


                   1.4  Risk Assessment
                   1.4.1  Application of Risk Assessment

                   Risk assessment and management of safety, health and environment protection (HSE) became
                   an important part of the design and construction activities.
                   Use of risk assessment in the offshore industry dates back to the second half of the  1970s
                   when  a  few  pioneer  projects  were  conducted,  with  an  objective  to  develop  analysis
                   methodologies and  collect  incident  data.  At  that  time,  the  methodologies  and  the  data
                   employed, were  those  used  for  some  years  by  the  nuclear power  industry and  chemical
                   industry.
                   The  next  step  in  the  risk  assessment  development  came  in  1981 when  the  Norwegian
                   Petroleum Directorate issued their guidelines for safety evaluation. These guidelines required
                   that a quantitative risk assessment (QRA) be carried out for all new offshore installations in
                   the conceptual design phase. Another significant step was the official inquiry led by  Lord
                   Cullen in the UK following the severe accident of the Piper Alpha platform in  1988. Lord
                   Cullen recommended that QRAs be implemented into the UK legislation in the same way as in
                   Norway nearly 10 years earlier.
                   In  1991, the Norwegian Petroleum Directorate replaced the guidelines for safety evaluation
                   issued in 1981 with regulations for risk analysis. In 1992, the safety case regulation in the UK
                   was finalized and the offshore industry in the UK took up risk assessments as part of the safety
                   cases for their existing and new installations. In 1997 formal safety assessment was adopted by
                   IMO as a tool to evaluate new safety regulations for the shipping industry.
                   1.4.2  Risk-Based Inspection (RBI)
                   Based on risk  measures, the development of a  system-level, risk-based  inspection process
                   involves the  prioritization  of  systems,  subsystems and  elements, and  development  of  an
                   inspection strategy (i.e.,  the frequency, method, and scope/sample size).  The process also
                   includes making the decision about the maintenance and  repair.  The risk-based inspection
                   method may also be applied for updating the inspection strategy for a given system, subsystem,
                   or componentfelement, using inspection results.
                   The important features of the risk-based inspection method include:
                      The use of a multidisciplinary, top-down approach that starts at the system level before
                      focusing the inspection on the element levels;
   31   32   33   34   35   36   37   38   39   40   41