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Chapter 27 Fatigue Reliability                                        493

                  Results and Assessment
                  Calibration of FM model: S-N curves have been developed based on laboratory tests. On the
                  other hand, there are larger uncertainties in the material parameters that are used in Fracture
                  Mechanics (FM) prediction. It  is therefore useful  to  calibrate the  FM  material parameters
                  against SN curves.  Several analyses were performed with different FM models. Figure 27.3
                  gives the results of this calibration to achieve a consistent fatigue life based on FM and S-N
                  approaches respectively. It is seen that if an identical parameter m=3.25 is used for FM and S-
                 N,  the  calibrated  results  are  a-EXP(0.02),  m-N(3.25,0.06)  and  p(m,lnC)=-0.95  or  Q-
                 EXP(0.007) and fixed m=3.25.  If fixed m=3.5  is used for FM and S-N, the calibrated results
                  are ao-EXP(0.007), or ao-EXP(O.O15), m-N(3.5,0.06)  and p(m,lnC)=O.95.  However, different
                 m values may be applied for different models. If fixed m=3.5 is used  for S-N approach, and
                 m=3.25 is used for FM model, then the calibrated aa follows EXP(0.02). It is seen clearly that
                 different calibrated   are available based on the assumptions made. If crack initiation time
                 ratio 64.1, this will increase  by about 20% compared to the case with 6=0. If more cycles
                 of N are assumed to be spent in crack initiation, the calibrated a,-, will be expected greater.
                 Basic parameter studies: Figure 27.3 shows the sensitivity of the reliability at t=4  years, with
                 no inspection based on FORM analysis.
                 Effect ofS-Nfatigueparameters: The determination of the fatigue parameters K, m of the S-N
                 formulation depends strongly on  how  the  considered structural details are classified. It  is
                 assumed  that  the  implied  accumulated  damage  D  equals  to  0.1  and  0.3  respectively,
                 corresponding parameters K and m are given in Table 27.8, COV of 1nC and 1nA are set to 0.5
                 and 0.1 respectively.
                 Effect  of  Weibull shape parameter: Based  on  preliminary investigations of  the  long-term
                 distribution, it is assumed that B is 0.95 in this case study. A Parametric study is performed
                 with the results shown in Figure 27.4. It is seen that the shape parameter B is quite influential
                 on the fatigue reliability. Generally, the shape parameter B is in the range of 0.8 - 1 .O for ships.
                 Instead of modeling B as a fixed value, it may be modeled as a stochastic variable. From the
                 results shown in Figure 27.5,  it  is seen that  if  1/B is modeled as normal distribution with
                 p=1.0526  and  COV=O.l, the  p will  decrease comparing to the results of fixed B.  If  it is
                 assumed that p(l/B, Id)=-0.8, the effect of B is almost as the same as when B is modeled as
                 fixed.



















                        Figure 27.1   Typical Midship Section of A Catamaran (Song and Moan, 1998)
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