Page 512 - Marine Structural Design
P. 512

488                                                   Part IV Structural Reliabiliw


                 Uncertainty measures: For the Wirsching's S-N lognormal reliability model, it's necessary to
                 specify the mean and COV of K,  B and A,  which are assumed to be lognormal distributed
                 variables.
                 The variables B and A are used to quantify the modeling error associated with assumption
                 made in the stress analysis and the description of the fatigue strength.
                 For  random  variable  A  describing  the  modeling  error  associated  with  Miner-Palgrem
                                                                   -
                 hypothesis, the following values for h and C,  are widely used, A = 1.0 and C, = 0.3.
                 For random variable K, it is associated with the uncertainty in the S-N relationship. For the S-
                 N  curves  established  from  the  fatigue  tests,  the  median  value  is  determined  by  the
                 experimental tests for different S-N categories while the COV is derived as 0.3-0.6 based on
                 experimental data analysis.

                 27.4  Calibration of FM Model by S-N Approach

                 Both S-N curve approach and FM approach have been applied to calculate failure probability:
                    Based on the S-N curve and Miner's rule, the LSF can be written as Eq.(27.7), where A is
                    the Miner's sum at failure, NO is the number of cycles over the design lifetime that causes
                    initiation and propagation. 1rK is modeled as a normal distribution.
                    Alternatively, a and to used in the FM based LSF Eq. (27.21) can be combined together by
                    neglecting to in the expression and substituting   by   which is an equivalent initial
                    crack size accommodating crack initiation time.
                 Accordingly, there is a correlation between these two approaches. This means that the initial
                 crack size used in the FM model may be calibrated to the S-N approach (Song & Moan, 1998).
                 The numbers of stress cycles to failure can be written as

                      N=KS-"  =Ni +N, =Ni +          da                             (27.28)
                                             a.  C(EYY(a,~)G)"'
                 where a0 corresponds to the crack size after Ni cycles of crack initiation.
                 Assuming that N+N,  the calibration of initial crack size a can be done according to

                                                                                    (27.29)


                 The median value of the initial crack size a can be calibrated by other variables from Eq.
                 (27.29). It is generally believed that the calibrated a will also depend on the crack initiation
                 period indicated by 6.  In the calibration, m may be  modeled as a fixed value or a random
                 variable of normal distribution.
                 In a similar way, the S-N approach can also be calibrated against FM  approach. In another
                 word, the crack size can be explicitly included in a S-N curve. No matter which approach is
                 going to be calibrated, the principle of calibration is that the different approaches should yield
                 consistent fatigue life.
   507   508   509   510   511   512   513   514   515   516   517