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Part V

                                                                      Risk Assessment



                  Chapter 29  Risk Assessment Methodology

                  29.1  Introduction

                  29.1.1  Health, Safety and Environment Protection
                  In recent years, the management of health, safety and environmental protection (HSE) became
                  an  important subject for the design and  construction of marine structures. The objective of
                  design projects is to  engineer safe, robust and  operable structural systems at  minimum  life
                  cycle cost.  The HSE target  is to  have an  injuryhllness free work  place in the design and
                  construction process (Toellner, 2001). In addition, attention has been given to ergonomics and
                  noise control for health protection (ASTM, 1988, 1995). Some of the other important subjects
                  in HSE are for instance, emergency response, evacuation, escape and rescue, fire protection
                  and medical response. From the viewpoint of the environmental protection, the leakage of
                  hydrocarbon &om pipelines and risers, tankers and facilities shall meet the required standard.
                  On many deepwater offshore projects, an environmental impact assessment is conducted. Air
                  emission and discharges of waste are controlled.
                 Risk assessment is a tool for the management of safety, health and environmental protection.
                  29.1.2  Overview of Risk Assessment
                 Risk assessment is more and more applied in managing safety, environmental and business
                 risk. The purpose of this chapter is to discuss the basic procedures for the risk assessment, as
                 shown in the flowchart in Figure 29.1  (NTS, 1998). Furthermore, this chapter explains risk
                 concepts  and  risk  acceptance criteria.  More  information may  be  found  from  NORSOK
                 standard (NTS, 1998), Arendt et a1 (1989), Avens (1992,1994), Guedes Soares (1998).
                 Risk  assessment  was  initially  developed  by  the  nuclear  engineering  community  as
                 “probabilistic safety assessment” (NRC,  1983). It  has  been  also  applied  by  the  chemical
                 industry as “quantitative risk assessment (QRA)” for risk management of chemical process
                 and chemical transportation (CCPS, 1989, 1995, Arendt et al, 1989). In recent years, it has
                 been accepted by the marine and offshore industry, see Vinnem (1999) and CMPT (1999).
                 Applications  to engineering systems in general are discussed in Wilcox and Ayyub (2002). An
                 extensive list of the recently published papers on marine risk  assessment may be  found in
                 ISSC (2000).
                 As shown in Figure 29.1, the main steps of a risk assessment are:
                     Planning of risk analysis
                     System description
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