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578                                                      Part V Risk Assessment


                 Assume  that  the  cash  expenses  (including the  initial  investment C,  associated with  the
                 project) at the end of each period are C,,  . The present value expression of cash expenses, C, is:

                     C=C- Cn
                         n=O (1 + i)”
                 Then the NPV of the project [denoted by NPV(i)]  is defined by the difference between I and Cy
                 i.e.





                 A positive NPV for a project represents a positive surplus, and we should accept the project if
                 sufficient funds are available for it. A project with a negative NPV should be rejected, because
                 we could do better by investing in other projects at the market interest rate i or outside the
                 market.
                 Internal Rate of Return (IRR)
                 The IRR is another time-discounted measure of investments similar to the NPV criterion. The
                 IRR of a project is defined as the rate of interest that equates the NPV of the entire series of
                 cash flows to zero. The project’s IRR, is mathematically defined by:

                     NPV(irr) = z- Fn   = 0
                               ,,=o  (1 + irr)”
                 Note that Eqn. (A.4) is a polynomial bction of irr . A direct solution for such a function is
                 not generally possible except for projects with a life of four periods or fewer. Therefore, two
                 approximation techniques are generally used, one using iterative procedures (a trial-and-mor
                 approach) and  the  other using  Newton’s  approximation to  the  solution of  a  polynomial.
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