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18   Chapter One

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        months. This trend has come to be known as Moore’s law. For micro-
        processors, the trend has been closer to a doubling every 2 years, but
        amazingly this exponential increase has continued now for 30 years
        and seems likely to continue through the foreseeable future (Fig. 1-7).
          The 4004 used transistors with a feature size of 10 microns (µm).
        This means that the distance from the source of the transistor to the
        drain was approximately 10 µm. A human hair is around 100 µm across.
        In 2003, transistors were being mass produced with a feature size of only
        0.13 µm. Smaller transistors not only allow for more logic gates, but also
        allow the individual logic gates to switch more quickly. This has provided
        for even greater improvements in performance by allowing faster clock
        rates. Perhaps even more importantly, shrinking the size of a computer
        chip reduces its manufacturing cost. The cost is determined by the cost
        to process a wafer, and the smaller the chip, the more that are made from
        each wafer. The importance of transistor scaling to the semiconductor
        industry is almost impossible to overstate. Making transistors smaller
        allows for chips that provide more performance, and therefore sell for
        more money, to be made at a lower cost. This is the fundamental driving
        force of the semiconductor industry.




                                  Intel processor transistor count
          1,000,000
                                                                Pentium D
                                                          Pentium 4 EE
           100,000                                   Pentium II  Pentium 4
          Number of transistors (K)  10,000  80286  i486DX  Pentium  Pentium III

                                                        Pentium pro
              1000

                                         80386DX
              100

               10            8088        Processor transistor count doubles every 2 years
                    8008    8085
                         8080
                     4004
                1
                1970    1975   1980   1985   1990    1995   2000   2005
                                      First year shipping
        Figure 1-7 Moore’s law. (Moore, “No Exponential is Forever,” 10.)



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          Moore, “Progress in Digital Integrated Electronics.”
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