Page 357 - Pipeline Risk Management Manual Ideas, Techniques, and Resources
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151332 Risk Management
           is to equip the practicing pipeline risk manager with concepts   common applications of a pipeline risk management program
           that  will  help him better understand risk  issues and interact   typically include the following:
           more effectively with risk managers from other industries.
           Many challenging questions are implied in risk management:   1.  Identification  of risks. This  is  simply  the  acquisition of
                                                        knowledge-such  as levels of risk and changes in risk over
             Where and when should resources be applied?   time-as  a  first  step toward  applying the  knowledge  to
             How much urgency should be attached to any specific risk   improve pipeline safety.
             mitigation?                              2. Reduction of risks. Establishing baseline risk levels and risk
           0  Should only the worst segments be addressed first?   significance  thresholds  provides  system  parameters  for
             Should resources be  diverted from  less risky  segments in   evaluating multiple risk reduction projects.
             order to better mitigate risks in higher risk areas?   3. Reduction of liabiliw. Having a comprehensive and effec-
             How much will risk change ifwe do nothing differently?   tive risk management program in place should reduce the
                                                        number, frequency, and severity of failures, as well as the
            It must be recognized that a finite amount of resources can be   severity of failure consequences. In addition to operating
            spent on pipeline risk reduction. Beyond some point, expendi-   cost savings, the company would expect to see a long-term
           tures no longer make sense from a business or societal view-   reduction of indirect liability-related costs, including insur-
            point. An irony of the situation is that public safety can actually   ance costs, third-party legal  actions, government agency
            be threatened by  spending too much on pipeline safety! This   enforcement actions, special interest group actions, etc.
            occurs when costs of pipeline transportation are driven so high   4.  Resource allocations. This entails optimizing, from a risk
            that business is diverted to less safe modes of transportation.   perspective,  the choices of day-to-day expenditures of man-
             In some sense, we have nearly complete control of the risk.   power  and  dollars. A  risk-based maintenance or  capital
            We can spend nothing on preventing accidents or we can spend   budget cost effectively allocates limited funds to risk miti-
            enormous sums of money over-designing facilities, employing   gation measures with the greatest risk reduction per unit
            an army of inspectors, and routinely shutting down lines for   cost. The  optimum allocation of  resources is one  of,  if
            preventive maintenance and replacement. Pragmatically, oper-   not the, most pressing challenges to managers of pipeline
            ators spending too little on preventing accidents will be out of   operations.
            business because of regulatory intervention or because of the   5. Project approvals. As part of a regulatory process or com-
            cost of accidents. On the other hand, if an operator spends too   pany internal process, this involves an examination of the
            much on accident prevention, that company can be driven out   levels of risk related to a proposed project and the judgment
            of business by the competition--even if, perhaps, that competi-   of the acceptability ofthose risks.
            tion has more accidents!                   6. Budget setting. Budgets are used to determine the value and
             Risk management, to a large extent, revolves around the cen-   optimum timing of a potential activity, project, or group of
            tral process of making choices in the design and day-to-day   projects from a risk perspective.
            operations of  a pipeline system. Many  of these choices are   7.  Due diligence. Due diligence is required to investigate and
            mandated  by  regulations  whereas  others  are  economically   evaluate assets that might be acquired, leased, abandoned,  or
            (budget) constrained. By assigning a cost to pipeline accidents   sold from  a risk perspective. An  acquiring company  can
            (a  sometimes  difficult  and  controversial thing  to  do)  and   evaluate data from a pipeline of interest in its risk model and
            including this in the cost of operations, the optimum balance   compare the level of risk to its existing system, thereby iden-
            point is the lowest cost of operations.      tifying the potential cost and budget priority to meet estab-
             No operator will ever have all of the relevant information he   lished significance thresholds.
            needs to guarantee safe operations. There will always be an ele-   8.  Risk communications. This involves presenting risk infor-
            ment of the unknown. Managers must control the “right” risks   mation  to a number of different audiences with  different
            with limited resources because there will always be limits on   interests and levels of technical abilities. These audiences
            the amount of time, manpower, or money available to apply to a   can include new  pipeline ROW-affected parties,  existing
            risk situation. Managers must weigh their decisions carefully in   pipeline  ROW-affected  parties,  corporate  stakeholders,
            light of what is known and unknown.          employees,  customers,  general  public,  special  interest
             The  deliverable most  requested  after  risk  assessment  is   groups, local emergency response parties, and local/state/
            therefore a resource allocution model. In such a model, the out-   federal governmental agencies.
            put of the risk assessment would play a key role in evaluating
            the benefits of any project or activity. The user would in essence   The risk results can also be used to support specific tasks in risk
            be performing “what-if‘’ scenarios to see the risk  level that   management, including
            results after any proposed action.
                                                       0  Design an operating discipline
                                                        Assist in route selection
            It.  Applications                            Optimize spending
                                                         Strengthen project evaluation
            Applications of risk management techniques range from sim-   Determine project prioritization
            ple “interesting to know” comparisons to the full basis ofbudg-   Determine resource allocation
            ets  and  operating  disciplines. The  latter  may  drive  design,   Ensure regulatory compliance
            construction, operating, maintenance, and emergency response
            decision making and associated resource allocation. The most   and so on.
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