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522    11. Likehood Ratio and Other Tests

                                 H  : σ  ≠ σ . Assume normality. From (11.3.21), we find the observed value
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                                   1
                                          2
                                 of the test statistic:

                                 With α = .10, one has F   = 5.0503 and F   =      .19801. Since F
                                                     5,5,.05         5,5,.95                    calc
                                 lies between the two numbers. 19801 and 5.0503, we conclude at 10% level
                                 that the two stock prices were equally variable during the six days under
                                 investigation. !

                                      The problem of testing the equality of means of two independent
                                      normal populations with unknown and unequal variances is hard.
                                       It is referred to as the Behrens-Fisher problem. For some ideas
                                      and references, look at both the Exercises 11.3.15 and 13.2.10.


                                 11.4 Bivariate Normal Observations


                                 We have discussed LR tests to check the equality of means of two indepen-
                                 dent normal populations. In some situations, however, the two normal popu-
                                 lations may be dependent. Recall the Example 9.3.3. Different test procedures
                                 are used in practice in order to handle such problems.
                                    Suppose that the pairs of random variables (X , X ) are iid bivariate nor-
                                                                              2i
                                                                           1i
                                 mal, N (µ , µ ,     ρ), i = 1, ..., n(≥ 2). Here we assume that all five
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                                             2
                                       2
                                 parameters are unknown, (µ , σ ) ∈ ℜ × ℜ , l = 1, 2 and –1 < ρ < 1. Test
                                                                      +
                                                         l
                                                            l
                                 procedures are summarized for the population correlation coefficient ρ and
                                 for comparing the means µ , µ  as well as the variances   .
                                                        1  2
                                 11.4.1 Comparing the Means: The Paired Difference t Method
                                 With fixed α ∈ (0, 1), we wish to find a level α test for a null hypothesis H  :
                                                                                                0
                                 µ  = µ  against the upper-, lower-, or two-sided alternative hypothesis H .
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                                       2
                                 The methodology from the Section 11.3.1 will not apply here. Let us denote


                                 Observe that Y , ..., Y  are iid N(µ  - µ , σ ) where σ  =    – 2ρσ σ .
                                                                      2
                                                                               2
                                                                                               1
                                                                                                2
                                                    n
                                              1
                                                               1
                                                                   2
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                                 Since the mean µ  – µ  and the variance σ  of the common normal distribu-
                                                    2
                                                1
                                 tion of the Y’s are unknown, the two-sample problem on hand is reduced
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