Page 56 - Probability and Statistical Inference
P. 56

1. Notions of Probability  33

                           1.7.1   Discrete Distributions
                           In this subsection, we include some standard discrete distributions. A few of
                           these appear repeatedly throughout the text.
                              The Bernoulli Distribution: This is perhaps one of the simplest possible
                           discrete random variables. We say that a random variable X has the Bernoulli
                           (p) distribution if and only if its pmf is given by




                           where 0 < p < 1. Here, p is often referred to as a parameter. In applications, one
                           may collect dichotomous data, for example simply record whether an item is
                           defective (x = 0) or non-defective (x = 1), whether an individual is married (x =
                           0) or unmarried (x = 1), or whether a vaccine works (x = 1) or does not work (x
                           = 0), and so on. In each situation, p stands for P(X = 1) and 1 – p stands for P(X
                           = 0).
                              The Binomial Distribution: We say that a discrete random variable X has
                           the Binomial(n, p) distribution if and only if its pmf is given by





                           where 0 < p < 1. Here again p is referred to as a parameter. Observe that the
                           Bernoulli (p) distribution is same as the Binomial(1, p) distribution.
                              The Binomial(n, p) distribution arises as follows. Consider repeating the
                           Bernoulli experiment independently n times where each time one observes the
                           outcome (0 or 1) where p = P(X = 1) remains the same throughout. Let us
                           obtain the expression for P(X = x). Consider n distinct positions in a row
                           where each position will be filled by the number 1 or 0. We want to find the
                           probability of observing x many 1’s, and hence additionally exactly (n – x)
                           many 0’s. The probability of any such particular sequence, for example the
                           first x many 1’s followed by (n – x) many 0’s or the first 0 followed by x
                                                                          x
                                                                                 n–x
                           many 1’s and then (n – x – 1) many 0’s would each be p (1 – p) . But, then
                           there are    ways to fill the x positions each with the number 1 and n – x
                           positions each with the number 0, out of the total n positions. This verifies the
                           form of the pmf in (1.7.2).
                              Recall the requirement in the part (ii) in (1.5.3) which demands that all the
                           probabilities given by (1.7.2) must add up to one. In order to verify this directly,
                           let us proceed as follows. We simply use the binomial expansion to write
   51   52   53   54   55   56   57   58   59   60   61