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CH07pp068-82  4/10/02  12:50 PM  Page 73






                                                              Understanding the Risks      73


                               With news of the Bhopal tragedy, I was among the safety directors and
                            plant managers throughout the chemical industry contacted by the news
                            media for interviews. The pressing question was, “Can it happen at any of
                            your facilities?” In retrospect, our response indicating that our facilities
                            could not impact the public to the same magnitude as the Bhopal incident
                            was totally correct. It’s fair, however, to say our assessment was based on
                            general knowledge of on-site operations rather than the results of scientific
                            evaluations. In the months after the Bhopal catastrophe, in-depth evalua-
                            tions of the potential for our operations to impact areas outside plant bound-
                            aries provided an enhanced understanding of facility risks. This improved
                            understanding led to identification of numerous improvement initiatives—
                            actions resulting in inherently safer facilities. The period of discovery and
                            action following Bhopal was truly an industry-wide phenomenon, and the
                            work done to better understand the risks was a key to the implementation of
                            actions to more effectively control the risks.
                               The commitment and resources required for understanding major risks
                            involved in operating complex operations, such as a large chemical facility,
                            are obviously much greater than for understanding the risks of operating a
                            small boat. Complex operations, such as aviation, health care, large-scale
                            construction, manufacturing, utility operations, refineries, pipelines, trans-
                            portation operations, and chemical facilities, require a systematic approach
                            to identify and understand risks.
                               A petrochemical facility, for example, is typically comprised of thou-
                            sands of components, all of which must function reliably, both separately
                            and as a system. Failure scenarios with potentially serious consequences
                            may be relatively numerous, and each must be understood in some detail.
                            Consider, for example, a single component in a typical facility—a pump. It
                            is not sufficient to simply understand that a pump failure can result in a re-
                            lease of material. Identification of the work necessary to control pump-re-
                            lated risks requires a full understanding of the specific failures that can
                            occur. For example, the following conditions that can lead to pump failure
                            must be understood and controlled:


                                 Gradual changes leading to failure due to corrosion, erosion, or other
                                  wear and tear.
                                 Changes in operating conditions that may contribute to increased
                                  corrosion or erosion.
                                 Improper installation or repair leading to failure of pump compo-
                                  nents.
                                 Misoperation, such as opening valves in the wrong sequence during
                                  startup.
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