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                     most powerful and influential model was that of nearby developing Russian
                     business, where fortunes were being made (and lost) at a breakneck pace.
                     Relative to that “standard,” the traditional return on money invested in the con-
                     traceptive market was very small—and not an especially attractive place to allo-
                     cate scarce resources, even when market development costs were being borne by
                     someone else.
                        The characterization of the breakup and transformation of the former
                     Soviet Union as a once-in-a-lifetime occurrence fueled a strong bias toward
                     high-risk/high-return short-term opportunities. These new entrepreneurs,
                     fearful of missing out on the bonanza, made investment choices based prima-
                     rily on how quickly they could turn a large profit and benefit in the shortest
                     time possible from an unprecedented market that might well not be there
                     tomorrow.
                        The Red Apple program’s specific competition for suppliers’ capital was
                     every other drug category, almost all of which offered a greater profit margin
                     than contraceptives. Coupled with the low return rate on contraceptives was a
                     concern that in response to the abortion crisis, Western donors would provide
                     free contraceptives for distribution through the public health system, thus ef-
                     fectively killing commercial market development, as well as investment in the
                     industry.




                       P O S I TI O NIN G

                     Consumers

                     Targeted consumers should see traditional Soviet reproductive health medical
                     advice and practice as flawed and outdated. Modern formulation contraceptives
                     are a safe and effective alternative to abortion, which poses substantial health
                     risks and should be avoided.



                     Suppliers
                     Targeted suppliers should see a commercial opportunity to enter a new market
                     with considerable growth potential, relatively free of risk or development costs.
                     They should also see an opportunity to establish new commercial trade links
                     with international pharmaceutical manufacturers and distributors.
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