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158    P r o c e s s   C o n t r o l                                                                                                                           Q u a n t i f y i n g   P r o c e s s   Va r i a t i o n    159


                                Consideration          Enumerative Study  Analytic Study
                                Aim                    Parameter estimation Prediction
                                Focus                  Universe          Process
                                Method of access       Counts, statistics  Models of the process
                                                                         (e.g., flow charts, causes and
                                                                         effects, mathematical models)
                                Major source of        Sampling variation  Extrapolation into the future
                                uncertainty
                                Uncertainty quantifiable?  Yes           No
                                Environment for the study  Static        Dynamic

                                Table 9.2  Important Aspects of Analytic Studies

                                   In an analytic study the focus is on a process and how to improve it.
                                The focus is the future. Thus, unlike enumerative studies, which make
                                inferences about the universe actually studied, analytic studies are inter-
                                ested in a universe that has yet to be produced. Table 9.2 compares ana-
                                lytic studies with enumerative studies (Provost, 1988).
                                   With regard to the analysis of processes, Deming (1986) comments:

                                  Analysis of variance, t-tests, confidence intervals, and other statistical tech-
                                  niques taught in the books, however interesting, are inappropriate because
                                  they provide no basis for prediction and because they bury the information
                                  contained in the order of production.
                                   In  organizations,  processes  are  carried  out  as  repeatable  activities,
                                carried out time and time again. The element of time is lost in the enu-
                                merative tools of confidence intervals and hypothesis testing. While use-
                                ful for analyzing short-term data from a planned experiment, for example,
                                these enumerative tools pool the variation that occurs over time into a
                                single estimate of sample variation.
                                   This is a persistent and unfortunate problem with the use of histo-
                                grams. Apparently, most practitioners learn that histograms are useful to
                                graphically  show  the  shape  of  the  data,  which  is  fundamentally  true.
                                Unfortunately, the shape of the data and the expected shape of the process
                                are completely different if the process is not stable. An example of this will
                                be shown shortly.

                      Acceptance Sampling
                                Acceptance sampling is a traditional quality control technique that is
                                applied to discrete lots or batches of a product. (A lot is a collection of
                                physical units; the term batch is usually applied to chemical materials).
                                The lot or batch is typically present ed to the inspection department by
                                either a supplier or a production depart ment. The inspection department








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