Page 160 - The Toyota Way Fieldbook
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Chapter 6. Establish Standardized Processes and Procedures 137


            So how do we determine the demand and takt time? Select a demand num-
        ber that will be sufficiently high enough to meet the need most of the time. For
        example, suppose the demand varies from 10,000 to 20,000 per month but the
        average is 16,000 per month. Which number should you choose? It depends on
        the situation, but generally we advise a higher number. Here’s why. Let’s suppose
        we use the maximum: 20,000. If we calculate a takt time, we will get a lower num-
        ber (less time allotted per piece). We compare the takt time to the cycle time to
        determine the discrepancy. Selecting a higher demand number will create a larger
        discrepancy. The relevance of the discrepancy is only related to the amount of
        improvement necessary to achieve the takt rate, and the improvement potential
        is based on the waste that exists in the operation.
            When presented with this dilemma, a Toyota sensei would respond, “No
        problem,” meaning that the pool of waste is large and the needed improvement
        can assuredly be made. The only risk of setting a demand level too large is that
        the amount of effort needed to achieve the takt time will be greater. You do not
        want to waste effort by falsely inflating the demand number (driving takt down),
        but it is not a major problem. If a process is improved beyond the actual need,
        the resources can be reduced or additional sales can be pursued.
            The takt time serves as a common “beat” for all operations in the value stream.
        An operation balance chart is a powerful visual tool for seeing how cycle times
        compare to takt. In some cases it can be used for answering “What if?” ques-
        tions about the capability of the process. Figure 6-8 shows an operation balance
        chart that was used to compare cycle times in a value stream to takt time. In this
        case the company wanted to  increase production  in order to meet possible
        increased demand that was only roughly estimated. They wanted to know how



                                      Line 1 Cycle Times
           120
                                                                   Takt time = 90 seconds
           100
            80
            60
            40
            20
             0                                          BUFF
                                                                   ATTACH COVER
          NOTCH/PIERCE  FORM 1  FORM 2 SPOT WELD STUD WELD SEAM WELD  GRIND  SPOT WELD FOOT WELD  LOAD





        Figure 6-8. Operation balance chart to compare cycle times
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