Page 320 - Fluid Power Engineering
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286   Chapter Thirteen


                 This project would be profitable if the energy can be sold at an
              effective price that is greater than pr  . However, the effective price
                                           LCOE
              is usually not easy to compute because of the variability of the price
              of RECs and whether PTC are fully utilized. In this situation, a project
              with a fixed price PPA with a guaranteed power purchase price that
              is greater than or equal to pr  will be profitable; the revenue from
                                     LCOE
              PTC and REC will be the profit.
                 Often, a simpler method is used to compute LCOE: 8

                                          TIC
                                 pr    =     fcr + rc             (13-6)
                                   LCOE
                                          en
              where en is the annual average energy generation in kWh, fcr is
              the fixed charge rate, rc is the annual average recurring charge per
              kilowatt-hour. fcr is the fraction of TIC that must be allocated annu-
              ally to account for capital cost, interest on debt, return on equity, and
              other fixed charges. In the following calculation, value of fcr is set to
                                                 8
                                                      9
              11.58%, the value used in the NREL report. Gipe has a more detailed
              exposition of fcr for different investors and situations.
                         $27 million         $1.1 million
               LCOE =               0.1158 +             = $0.077/kWh
                       50 million kWh      50 million kWh

              Net Present Value (NPV)
              NPV is computed using the net after-tax cash flow (cf(i),i = 1 to L) time
              series. It is the last row in Table 13-3.


                                NPV =   L   cf(i)/(1 + r) i       (13-7)
                                       i=0

              where r is the discount rate and i = 0 is the year when investment is
              made and project is installed, i = 1 is the year when project is com-
              missioned and starts producing energy for sale, and cf(0) = TIC. In a
              more rigorous model, multiyear investments may be modeled.


              Payback Period
              Simple payback period is a measure of the number of years it takes for
              a project to return the total investment. A concept of accumulated liq-
              uidity is used, which is the sum of net after-tax cash flow. For instance,
              accumulated liquidity after n years (n ≤ L) of a project is:


                       Accumulated Liquidity (n) =  n   cf(i)     (13-8)
                                                 i=0
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