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252                        DESIGN LOADS FOR HORIZONTAL-AXIS WIND TURBINES


               2.5
                2                                 Point 1
                      Integral time scale = 7.35 s
                                                  Point 2
               1.5
              Wind speed fluctuations / standard deviation  -0.5 0
                1
               0.5



                -1
               -1.5
                -2
               -2.5
                -3
                 0    10   20   30  40   50   60   70   80   90   100  110  120
                                               Time (s)
                  Figure 5.22  Simulated Wind Speed Time Series at Two Points 10 m Apart


          Blade load time histories

          Once the simulated wind speed time histories have been generated across the grid,
          the calculation of blade load histories at different radii can begin. If the wake is
          assumed to be ‘frozen’, then the axial induced velocity, aU, and the tangential
          induced velocity, a9Ùr, are taken as remaining constant over time, at each radius, at
          the values calculated for a steady wind speed of U. The instantaneous value of the
          flow angle, ö, and hence the values of the lift and drag coefficients, may then be
          calculated directly from the instantaneous value of the wind-speed fluctuation
          (including lateral and vertical components) by means of the velocity diagram.
            Alternatively, an equilibrium wake may be assumed. In this case, the induced
          velocities are taken to vary continuously so that the momentum equations are
          satisfied at each blade element at all times. Obviously, this requires that these
          equations are solved afresh at each time step, which is computationally much more
          demanding.
            Neither the equilibrium wake model nor the frozen wake model provide an
          accurate description of wake behaviour. A better model is provided by dynamic
          inflow theory, which assumes that there is some delay before induced velocities
          react to changes in the incident wind field (see Section 3.13.1).
            Note that, if desired, the spatial wind variations causing deterministic loading
          can be included in the simulated wind field, enabling the combined deterministic
          and stochastic loading on the blade to be calculated in a single operation.



          5.7.7 Extreme loads

          The derivation of extreme loads should properly take into account dynamic effects,
          which form the subject of the next section. However, in the interests of clarity, this
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