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MODELS    13



                        MANAGEMENT SCIENCE IN ACTION



                        Quantitative Analysis At Merrill Lynch*
                             errill Lynch, a brokerage and financial services  on developing solutions that provide significant
                        M firm with more than 56 000 employees in 45  value and are easily implemented. As the work
                        countries, serves its client base through two busi-  progresses, frequent meetings keep the clients
                        ness units. The Merrill Lynch Corporate and Institu-  up-to-date. Because people with different skills,
                        tional Client Group serves more than 7 000 corpora-  perspectives and motivations must work together
                        tions, institutions and governments. The Merrill  for a common goal, teamwork is essential. The
                        Lynch Private Client Group (MLPC) serves approxi-  group’s  members  take  classes  in  team
                        mately four million households, as well as 225 000  approaches, facilitation and conflict resolution.
                        small to mid-sized businesses and regional financial  They possess a broad range of multifunctional
                        institutions, through more than 14 000 financial con-  and multidisciplinary capabilities and are motivated
                        sultants in 600-plus branch offices. The manage-  to provide solutions that focus on the goals of the
                        ment science group, established in 1986, has been  firm. This approach to problem solving and the
                        part of MLPC since 1991. The mission of this group  implementation of quantitative analysis has been a
                        is to provide high-end quantitative analysis to  hallmark of the group. The impact and success of
                        support strategic management decisions and to  the group translates into hard dollars and repeat
                        enhance the financial consultant–client relationship.  business. The group recently received the annual
                        The group has successfully implemented models  Edelman award given by the Institute for Operations
                        and developed systems for asset allocation, finan-  Research and the Management Sciences for effec-
                        cial planning, marketing information technology,  tive use of management science for organizational
                        database marketing and portfolio performance  success. As Launny Stevens, Merrill Lynch Vice
                        measurement. Although technical expertise and  Chairman  commented,  ‘Operational  Research
                        objectivity are clearly important factors in any ana-  allowed us to seize the initiative in the marketplace.
                        lytical group, the group attributes much of its suc-  We have moved forward like a bullet train and it is
                        cess to communications skills, teamwork and con-  our competitors that are scrambling not to get
                        sulting skills. Each project begins with face-to-face  run over’.
                        meetings with the client. A proposal is then pre-
                                                                    *Based on Russ Labe, Raj Nigam, and Steve Spence, ‘Manage-
                        pared to outline the background of the problem,
                                                                    ment Science at Merrill Lynch Private Client Group’, Interfaces 29,
                        the objectives of the project, the approach, the  no. 2 (March/April 1999): 1–14. and The Guide to Operational
                        required resources, the time schedule and the  Research, http://www.theorsociety.com/Science_of_Better/htdocs/
                        implementation issues. At this stage, analysts focus  prospect/or_executive_guide.pdf





                                      items sold to the price charged. In this case we know that if we increase the price of
                                      the product it will affect sales but we may not know for certain the exact numerical
                                      effect – the exact value of the parameter. Here, we would have to estimate the parameter
                                      value and recognize that this may affect the reliability of the model results – the model
                                      can only be as accurate as the data used in its construction. Understandably this is why so
                                      much effort goes into data collection in management science.
                                         The purpose, or value, of any model is that it enables us to make inferences about
                                      the real situation by studying and analyzing the model which in turn can help us make
                                      decisions. For example, an aeroplane designer might test an iconic model of a new
                                      aeroplane in a wind tunnel to learn about the potential flying characteristics of the full-
                                      size aeroplane. Similarly, a mathematical model may be used to make inferences about
                                      how much profit will be earned if a specified quantity of a particular product is sold.
                                      According to the mathematical model of Equation (1.1), we would expect selling three
                                      hundred units of the product (x ¼ 300) would provide a profit of P ¼ 10(300) ¼ E3000.




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