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14    CHAPTER 1 INTRODUCTION


                                       In general, experimenting with models requires less time and is less expensive than
                                     experimenting with the real object or situation. A model aeroplane is certainly quicker
                                     and less expensive to build and study than the full-size aeroplane. Similarly, the
                                     mathematical model in Equation (1.1) allows a quick identification of profit expect-
                                     ations without actually requiring the manager to produce and sell 300 units. Models
                                     also have the advantage of reducing the risk associated with experimenting with the
                                     real situation. In particular, bad designs or bad decisions that cause the model aero-
                                     plane to crash or a mathematical model to project a E10000 loss can be avoided in the
                                     real situation. The value of model-based conclusions and decisions is dependent on
                                     how well the model represents the real situation. The more closely the model
                                     aeroplane represents the real aeroplane the more accurate the conclusions and
                                     predictions will be. Similarly, the more closely the mathematical model represents
                                     the company’s true profit-volume relationship, the more accurate the profit pro-
                                     jections will be.
                                       Obviously our model in equation (1.1) is quite simple and basic – it consists of
                                     only one equation after all. To illustrate some additional aspects of MS models
                                     we’ll expand the situation. Let us assume that management have agreed, during
                                     the problem structuring and definition phase, that their problem is to maximize
                                     the company’s profit, P. However, they have also identified certain factors that
                                     must be taken into account when seeking to maximize profit. One critical
                                     requirement relates to the fact that each unit of the item produced by the
                                     company takes five hours of production time and that each day there are only
                                     40 hoursof production time available given theexistingworkforce.Wecan show
                                     the company’s objective mathematically as:

                                                                 Maximize P =10x
                                     And we refer to this as the objective function. We can also show the production
                                     limitation as:

                                                                     5x   40
                                     where 5x shows the amount of production time need to produce x units and 40 shows
                                     the total available production time. The symbol shows that the amount of produc-
                                     tion time needed must be less than, or equal to, the 40 hours maximum that is
                                     available. We refer to this expression as a constraint. We also have a ‘common
                                     sense’ requirement that:
                                                                      x   0

                                     that is, that production cannot be negative. Clearly, this makes sense from a business
                                     perspective and whilst it may seem unnecessary to be this explicit it is important to specify
                                     such requirements mathematically to ensure our model represents business reality
                                     as closely as possible. We then have a complete model for the production situation:

                                                                 Maximize P =10x
                                                                 Subject to:
                                                                     5x   40
                                                                      x   0
                                     This model can now be used to help management. Clearly, the decision relates to the
                                     value of x which will maximize profit, P, but also meets the specified constraint
                                     requirements. x is often referred to as the decision variable – the variable about
                                     which we need to take some decision typically in the context of what numerical value
                                     it should take.





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