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12    CHAPTER 1 INTRODUCTION


                                     Figure 1.2 Revised MS approach



                                                                                Problem
                                                                               recognition
                                                     Implementation





                                                                                       Problem
                                                  Solution(s) and                    Structuring and
                                                recommendation(s)                      Definition



                                                                     Modelling
                                                                    and Analysis







                               1.5    Models


                                     Management science makes considerable use of models. Models are representations of
                                     real objects or situations and can be presented in various forms. For example, Airbus
                                     may make a scale model of an aeroplane that they’re thinking of producing. VW may
                                     make a model of a new vehicle prototype. The model aeroplane and vehicle are
                                     examples of models that are physical replicas of real objects. In modelling terminology,
                                     physical replicas are referred to as iconic models. Another classification of models – the
                                     type we will primarily be studying – includes representations of a problem by a system
                                     of symbols and quantitative relationships or expressions. Such models are referred to as
                                     mathematical models and are a critical part of any quantitative approach to decision
                                     making. For example, the total profit from the sale of a product can be determined by
                                     multiplying the profit per unit by the quantity sold. If we let x represent the number of
                                     units sold and P the total profit, then, with a profit of E10 per unit, the following
                                     mathematical model defines the total profit earned by selling x units:


                                                                     P ¼ 10x                          (1:1)

                                       The symbols P and x are known as variables – their exact numerical value can vary,
                                     it is not predetermined or fixed. The variable P, profit, is known as a dependent
                                     variable since its value depends on x, the number of units sold. x is referred to as an
                                     independent variable since its value in this equation is not dependent on another
                                     variable. The whole equation is referred to as a functional relationship. We are
                                     relating profit, P, to the number of units sold, x, and we are saying that profit is a
                                     function of sales. The value of E10 in equation (1.1) is known as a parameter.
                                     Parameters are known, constant values. Unlike variables their value does not change.
                                     The values for parameters in a model are usually obtained from observed data. In this
                                     case the data is likely to be readily available and reliable and accurate, after all, we
                                     know the price we’re selling the product for. In other cases, however, the value of a
                                     parameter may have to be estimated using the best available data and may be less
                                     reliable. Consider a different model, for example, where we are relating the number of



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