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436   CHAPTER 10 INVENTORY MODELS



                      MANAGEMENT SCIENCE IN ACTION



                      Lowering Inventory Cost at Dutch Companies
                        n the Netherlands, companies such as Philips,  the lead-time demand distribution is approximated
                      I Rank Xerox and Fokker have followed the trend  directly, taking into account both the probabilistic
                      of developing closer relations between the firm and  demand and the probabilistic length of the lead-time
                      its suppliers. As teamwork, coordination and infor-  period.
                      mation sharing improve, opportunities are available  The supplier’s information concerning scheduled
                      for better cost control in the operation of inventory  production runs provides the warehouser with a bet-
                      systems.                                    ter understanding of the lead time involved for a
                         One Dutch public warehouser has a contract with  product and the resulting lead-time demand distribu-
                      its supplier under which the supplier routinely pro-  tion. With this information, the warehouse can modify
                      vides information regarding the status and schedule  the reorder point accordingly. Information sharing by
                      of upcoming production runs. The warehouser’s  the supplier thus enables the order-quantity, reorder
                      inventory system operates as an order-quantity, reor-  point system to operate with a lower inventory
                      der point system with probabilistic demand. When  holding cost.
                      the order quantity Q has been determined, the ware-
                                                                  Based on F.A. van der Duyn Schouten, M.J.G. van Eijs and R.M.J.
                      houser selects the desired reorder point for the prod-
                                                                  Heuts, ‘The Value of Supplier Information to Improve Management of a
                      uct. The distribution of the lead-time demand is  Retailer’s Inventory’, Decision Sciences 25, no. 1 (January/February
                      essential in determining the reorder point. Usually,  1994): 1–14.



                                     assumed normal distribution for lead-time demand with   ¼ 154 and s ¼ 25, the
                                     reorder point r is:

                                                              r ¼ 154 þ 1:645ð25Þ¼ 195
                                     If a normal distribution is used for lead-time demand, the general equation for r is:


                                                                    r ¼   þ z                       (10:37)

                                     where z is the number of standard deviations necessary to obtain the acceptable
                                     stock-out probability.
                                       So, the recommended inventory decision is to order 400 units whenever the
                                     inventory reaches the reorder point of 195. Because the mean or expected demand
                                     during the lead time is 154 units, the 195   154 ¼ 41 units serve as a safety stock,
                                     which absorbs higher-than-usual demand during the lead time. Roughly 95 per cent
                                     of the time, the 195 units will be able to satisfy demand during the lead time. The
                                     anticipated annual cost for this system is as follows:
                                              Holding cost; normal inventory ðQ=2ÞC h ¼ð400=2Þð1:20Þ¼ E240
                                              Holding cost; safety stock  ð41ÞC h ¼  41ð1:20Þ  ¼ E 49
                                              Ordering cost           ðD=QÞC o ¼ð8008=400Þ12 ¼ E240
                                                                                       Total  E529

                                     If Dabco could assume that a known, constant demand rate of 8008 units per year existed
                                     for the lightbulbs, then Q* ¼ 400, r ¼ 154 and a total annual cost of E240 + E240 ¼
                                     E480 would be optimal. When demand is uncertain and can only be expressed in
                                     probabilistic terms, a larger total cost can be expected. The larger cost occurs in the form
                                     of larger holding costs because more inventory must be maintained to limit the number




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