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440   CHAPTER 10 INVENTORY MODELS



                      MANAGEMENT SCIENCE IN ACTION



                      Dell Computers
                          ell was established by Michael Dell in 1984  suppliers are in Asia with transportation and delivery
                      Dusing a business model of selling computers  times that may be up to 30 days. In one project a
                      and computer systems directly to customers  team analyzed inventory management for one of the
                      through the Internet or phone rather than through  major PC components used by Dell in its Texas
                      traditional retail systems. Once a customer order is  assembly plant. Based on the inventory model
                      received the computer product can be manufac-  developed by the team, Dell was able to reduce
                      tured in a matter of hours. Dell operates in a very  relevant inventory by around 40 per cent with
                      competitive and price-conscious market so manag-  estimated savings of around $40 million using net
                      ing its supply chain effectively is critical. One of the  present value calculations. Dick Hunter, Vice
                      key elements is that Dell carries the minimum inven-  President, Americas Manufacturing Operations, Dell
                      tory itself, relying on, and managing, its suppliers to  Inc., commented ‘This model and corresponding
                      ensure an optimal flow of inventory supplies. Keep-  logic changed our thinking by directing us to focus
                      ing inventory to a minimum clearly enables Dell to  on the drivers of variation in our supply chain as
                      keep its costs low and this can then feed through  a key method to reduce inventory and improve
                      into its pricing strategy. Minimizing inventory also  velocity’.
                      brings benefits in terms of reducing risk from obso-
                                                                  Based on R. Kapuscinski, R. Q. Zhang, P. Carbonneau, R. Moore and
                      lescence and rapidly changing technology develop-
                                                                  B. Reeves, ‘Inventory Decisions in Dell’s Supply Chain’, Interfaces 34/3
                      ments. However, holding minimum inventory at  (May–June 2004): 191–205.
                      Dell creates risks of its own given that many of Dell’s



                    Problem 19 gives you  Although other probability distributions can be used to express the demand during
                    practise in calculating the
                    replenishment level for a  the review period plus the lead-time period, if the normal probability distribution is
                    periodic review model  used, the general expression for M is:
                    with probabilistic
                    demand.
                                                                    M ¼   þ z                       (10:39)


                                     where z is the number of standard deviations necessary to obtain the acceptable
                                     stock-out probability.
                    Periodic review systems  If demand had been deterministic rather than probabilistic, the replenishment
                    provide advantages of  level would have been the demand during the review period plus the demand
                    coordinated orders for  during the lead-time period. In this case, the replenishment level would have
                    multiple items. However,
                    periodic review systems  been 250 units, and no stock-out would have occurred. However, with the
                    require larger safety  probabilistic demand, we have seen that higher inventory is necessary to allow
                    stock levels than  for uncertain demand and to control the probability of a stock-out. In the Dollar
                    corresponding    Discounts problem, 355   250 ¼ 105 is the safety stock that is necessary to
                    continuous review
                    systems.         absorb any higher-than-usual demand during the review period plus the demand
                                     during the lead-time period. This safety stock limits the probability of a stock-
                                     out to 1 per cent.

                                     More Complex Periodic Review Models

                                     The periodic review model just discussed is one approach to determining a replen-
                                     ishment level for the periodic review inventory system with probabilistic demand.
                                     More complex versions of the periodic review model incorporate a reorder point as




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