Page 355 - Applied Statistics And Probability For Engineers
P. 355

c09.qxd  5/16/02  4:15 PM  Page 303 RK UL 6 RK UL 6:Desktop Folder:TEMP WORK:MONTGOMERY:REVISES UPLO D CH114 FIN L:Quark Files:






                                         9-3 TESTS ON THE MEAN OF A NORMAL DISTRIBUTION, VARIANCE UNKNOWN  303


                                       7.  Computations: Since x   0.83725 , s   0.02456,     0.82, and n   15, we have
                                                                                   0
                                                                 0.83725   0.82
                                                             t                   2.72
                                                             0
                                                                  0.02456
 115
                                       8.  Conclusions: Since t   2.72   1.761 , we reject H and conclude at the 0.05 level of
                                                          0
                                                                                   0
                                          significance that the mean coefficient of restitution exceeds 0.82.
                                   Minitab will conduct the one-sample t-test. The output from this software package is in the
                                   following display:


                                       One-Sample T: COR
                                       Test of mu   0.82 vs mu   0.82
                                       Variable     N          Mean         StDev      SE Mean
                                       COR          15        0.83725       0.02456    0.00634
                                       Variable     95.0% Lower Bound       T          P
                                       COR                     0.82608     2.72      0.008


                                   Notice that Minitab computes both the test statistic T 0 and a 95% lower confidence bound for
                                   the coefficient of restitution. Because the 95% lower confidence bound exceeds 0.82, we
                                   would reject the hypothesis that H 0 :    0.82 and conclude that the alternative hypothesis
                                   H :    0.82  is true. Minitab also calculates a P-value for the test statistic T 0 . In the next
                                     1
                                   section we explain how this is done.

                 9-3.2  P-Value for a t-Test

                                   The P-value for a t-test is just the smallest level of significance at which the null hypothesis
                                   would be rejected. That is, it is the tail area beyond the value of the test statistic t 0 for a one-
                                   sided test or twice this area for a two-sided test. Because the t-table in Appendix Table IV
                                   contains only 10 critical values for each  t distribution, computation of the exact  P-value
                                   directly from the table is usually impossible. However, it is easy to find upper and lower
                                   bounds on the P-value from this table.
                                       To illustrate, consider the t-test based on 14 degrees of freedom in Example 9-6. The
                                   relevant critical values from Appendix Table IV are as follows:
                                    Critical Value:  0.258  0.692  1.345  1.761  2.145  2.624  2.977  3.326  3.787  4.140
                                    Tail Area:   0.40  0.25  0.10  0.05  0.025  0.01  0.005  0.0025  0.001  0.0005

                                   Notice that t 0   2.72 in Example 9-6, and that this is between two tabulated values, 2.624 and
                                   2.977. Therefore, the P-value must be between 0.01 and 0.005. These are effectively the up-
                                   per and lower bounds on the P-value.
                                       Example 9-6 is an upper-tailed test. If the test is lower-tailed, just change the sign of t 0 and
                                   proceed as above. Remember that for a two-tailed test the level of significance associated with a
                                   particular critical value is twice the corresponding tail area in the column heading. This consider-
                                   ation must be taken into account when we compute the bound on the P-value. For example, sup-
                                   pose that  t 0    2.72 for a two-tailed alternate based on 14 degrees of freedom. The value
                                   t   2.624  (corresponding to    0.02) and t 0    2.977  (corresponding to    0.01), so the
                                    0
                                   lower and upper bounds on the P-value would be 0.01   P   0.02  for this case.
   350   351   352   353   354   355   356   357   358   359   360