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104                                            STATE ESTIMATION

              with the Jacobian matrix:


                                       1         0
                              HðxÞ¼                                    ð4:41Þ
                                       0  U  expð  DÞ
              The best fitted parameters of this model are as follows:


              Volume control    Substance flow  Output flow  Measurement system

                ¼ 1 (s)          f ¼ 0:1 (lit/s) V ref ¼ 4000 (lit)    v 1  ¼ 16 (lit)
                                  2
              V 0 ¼ 4001 (lit)    w 2  ¼ 0:9 (lit/s)  c ¼ 1 (lit/s)  U ¼ 1000 (V)
                ¼ 0:95 (1/s)                                      ¼ 100
                 ¼ 0:1225 (lit/s)                                ¼ 0:02 (V)
                w 1                                             v 2
              Figure 4.9 shows the real states (obtained from a simulation using the
              model from Example 4.1), observed measurements, estimated states
              and estimation errors. It can be seen that:

              . The density can only be estimated if the real density is close to the
                equilibrium. In every other region, the linearization of the measure-
                ment is not accurate enough.
              . The estimator is able to estimate the mean volume, but cannot keep
                track of the fluctuations. The estimation error of the volume is
                much larger than indicated by the 1  boundaries (obtained from
                the error covariance matrix). The reason for the inconsistent beha-
                viour is that the linear-Gaussian AR model does not fit well enough.

                volume (litre)                  real (thin) and estimated volume (litre)
            4020                            4020
            4000                            4000
                density                      20  volume error (litre)
             0.1
                                              0
            0.09
            0.08                            –20
                volume measurements (litre)     real (thin) and estimated density
            4050                             0.1
            4000
                                            0.05
            3950
                density measurements (V)
             0.4                            0.04 density error
                                            0.02
             0.2
                                              0
              0
                                  i∆ (s)       0           2000   i∆ (s)  4000
            Figure 4.9 Linearized Kalman filtering applied to the volume density estimation
            problem
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