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BAYESIAN ESTIMATION                                           47

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              coefficient and its corresponding measurement. In this example, the
              number of probes per measurement is eight. It can be seen that, even
              after averaging, the measurement is still inaccurate. Moreover,
              although the true backscattering coefficient is always between 0 and 1,
              the measurements can easily violate this constraint (some measure-
              ments are greater than 1).
                The task of a parameter estimator here is to map each measurement
              to an estimate of the corresponding backscattering coefficient.

            This chapter addresses the problem of how to design a parameter
            estimator. For that, two approaches exist: Bayesian estimation (Section
            3.1) and data-fitting techniques (Section 3.3). The Bayesian-theoretic
            framework for parameter estimation follows the same line of reasoning
            as the one for classification (as discussed in Chapter 2). It is a probabil-
            istic approach. The second approach, data fitting, does not have such a
            probabilistic context. The various criteria for the evaluation of an esti-
            mator are discussed in Section 3.2.



            3.1   BAYESIAN ESTIMATION

            Figure 3.3 gives a framework in which parameter estimation can be
            defined. The starting point is a probabilistic experiment where the out-
                                                M
            come is a random vector x defined in R , and with probability density


              measurement data not available (prior)  measurement data available (posterior)


                        parameter               measurement
                         vector                    vector           estimate
              experiment         object  sensory           parameter
                         x ∈R M          system    z ∈R N  estimation  ˆ x(z) ∈R M
               prior
               probability
               density
                p(x)

            Figure 3.3  Parameter estimation


            1
             The data shown in Figure 3.2 is the result of a simulation. Therefore, in this case, the true
            backscattering coefficients are known. Of course, in practice, the true parameter of interest is
            always unknown. Only the measurements are available.
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