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56                                       PARAMETER ESTIMATION

            3.1.3  The Gaussian case with linear sensors

            Suppose that the parameter vector x has a normal distribution with
            expectation vector E[x] ¼ m and covariance matrix C x . In addition,
                                      x
            suppose that the measurement vector can be expressed as a linear
            combination of the parameter vector corrupted by additive Gaussian
            noise:
                                       z ¼ Hx þ v                      ð3:18Þ

            where v is an N-dimensional random vector with zero expectation and
            covariance matrix C v . x and v are uncorrelated. H is an N   M matrix.
              The assumption that both x and v are normal implies that the condi-
            tional probability density of z is also normal. The conditional expect-
            ation vector of z equals:
                                   E½zjxм m   ¼ Hm
                                            zjx     x                  ð3:19Þ

            The conditional covariance matrix of z is C zjx ¼ C v .
              Under these assumptions the posterior distribution of x is normal as
            well. Application of (3.2) yields the following expressions for the MMSE
            estimate and the corresponding covariance matrix:


                                             1
                                                               1
                                                                      1
              ^ x x MMSE ðzÞ¼ m  ¼ E½xjzм H C H þ C  1    1   H C z þ C m
                                         T
                                                            T

                          xjz               v       x         v      x  x
                            T
                               1
                   C xjz ¼ H C H þ C   1     1

                              v       x
                                                                       ð3:20Þ
            The proof is left as an exercise for the reader. See exercise 3. Note that
            m , being the posterior expectation, is the MMSE estimate ^ x MMSE (z).
                                                                  x
             xjz
              The posterior expectation, E[xjz], consists of two terms. The first term
            is linear in z. It represents the information coming from the measure-
            ment. The second term is linear in m , representing the prior knowledge.
                                            x
            To show that this interpretation is correct it is instructive to see what
            happens at the extreme ends: either no information from the measure-
            ment, or no prior knowledge:
              . The measurements are useless if the matrix H is virtually zero, or if
                the noise is too large, i.e. C  1  is too small. In both cases, the second
                                        v
                term in (3.20) dominates. In the limit, the estimate becomes
                ^ x x MMSE (z) ¼ m with covariance matrix C x , i.e. the estimate is purely
                            x
                based on prior knowledge.
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