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                                                            GLOBALIZATION AND RISKS

                The balance of economic and thus of political forces between different
                centers of capital regularly changes, as the market rewards now this center
                of capital and now another. The political need to regularly re-divide the
                world to realign it with the changing balance of forces arises as a constant
                element in international relations. During periods of relative stability
                (when the balance is more or less fixed) international law can prevail
                within the boundaries of power politics. During periods of change in the
                balance of forces such as now, international law necessarily is disre-
                garded as force is used to establish a new balance. Hence the inescapable
                instability of national and international relations under monopoly capi-
                talism and imperialism. To attempt to grasp this extremely unstable situ-
                ation by the term ‘risk society’ is to remain at the level of symptoms
                without getting to the root causes of the ‘risk’. It expresses a determina-
                tion not to address these root causes but to remain at the level of antici-
                pating, containing and restraining the symptoms.
                  In what is perhaps the most comprehensive account of shifts in the
                contemporary global economy, Dicken calls our attention to the condi-
                tions of volatility – the ‘risks’ – which prevail in the world economy
                today:

                  Rates of growth during the 1980s were extremely variable, ranging from the
                  negative growth rates of 1982 through to two years (1984 and 1988) when
                  growth of world merchandise trade reached the levels of the 1960s once
                  again. Overall, growth—albeit uneven growth—reappeared. But then, in the
                  early 1990s, recession occurred again. In 1994 and 1995, strong growth
                  reappeared, especially in exports. A similarly volatile pattern characterized
                  the last years of the century. 18


                He goes on to point out that transnational corporations (TNCs) now
                operate on an enormous global scale, accounting for two-thirds of
                world exports of goods and services, much of which is intra-firm trade
                which does not even enter market relations – a most interesting form
                of the abolition of commodity relations under highly developed capi-
                talism. 19  In the United States, the model for this relative abolition of
                commodity production within capitalism is the massive retail chain
                Wal-Mart. In many ways, especially in their electronic data manage-
                ment systems which have an international reach across the borders of
                nation–states, they are, ironically, models of socialism in a purely eco-
                nomic sense. While the United States leads in the erosion of market
                relations in distribution and retailing, the iron link between banking
                and industrial capital has clearly gone furthest in Japan. The Japanese
                keiretsu system has far surpassed anything J.P. Morgan could have


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