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76  Decision Making Applications in Modern Power Systems


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                      MT = 2E+8; λ;
                     μ; N = 1000; j = 1

                                  Yes
                        is j > N ?
                            No
                   CT = 0; OFF = 0; DT = 0;
                                                         U = mean (U j);
                                                           A = 1 – U;
                                                     MTTF s = mean (MTTF j);
                                                     MTTR s = mean (MTTR j);
                    Generate  TTF hw and                 λ s=1/MTTF s ;
                                                         μ s= 1/MTTR s ;
                         TTR hw
                                  Yes                       Stop
                       is CT > MT ?         CT = 0;
                            No          Generate  TTF sw and
                                            TTR sw
                     CT = CT+TTF hw +
                         TTR hw
                      OFF=OFF+1;                      Yes
                                          is CT > MT ?
                       DT=TTR hw
                                                No
                                         CT = CT+TTF sw +
                                            TTR sw
                                          OFF=OFF+1;
                                           DT=TTR sw       Failures j = OFF;
                                                          DownTime j =  DT;
                                                            U j = DT/OFF;
                                                             A j = 1 – U j;
                                                       MTTF j = (MT – DT)/OFF;
                                                       MTTR j = (DT)/OFF; j = j+1;
            FIGURE 3.12 Flowchart for generating the failure rates and repair rates of the CPU module
            using MCS. CPU, Central processing unit; MCS, Monte Carlo simulation.



            two repeaters for communication feasibility. When the PMU at bus 3 or its
            communication network fails, buses 1 and 2 cannot be observed. On the
            other hand, when the PMU at bus 4 or its communication network fails,
            buses 5 and 6 cannot be observed. Thus the severity of failures for both the
            communication networks is 2. The probabilities of failure, the severity, and
            the risk for each of these communication networks are shown in Table 3.5.
               The overall system risk is the sum of their individual risks and is equal to
            0.0034042. When the PDC is placed on bus 1, it happens that the communi-
            cation network of both the PMUs requires only one repeater for communica-
            tion feasibility. By placing the PDC at bus 1, the risk is reduced to
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