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Analysis Methods for Design Decisions      181

                 comparison of proposed designs based on an approximate bill of materials and
                 can display a variety of life-cycle indicators, ranging from a simple carbon or
                 water footprint to a comprehensive ecosystem goods and services consumption
                 profile [17].
               Exergy Analysis
               The latest advance in LCA involves modeling the material and energy
               flows in complex systems based on the laws of thermodynamics.
               Exergy is defined as the available work that can be extracted from a
               material; for example, the exergy content of a fuel is essentially its
               heat content [18]. More generally, exergy tends to be correlated with
               material scarcity and purity, since it measures the difference of a mate-
               rial from its surroundings. Bhavik Bakshi and his colleagues at The
               Ohio State University have shown that all of the factors of industrial
               production—energy, materials, land, air, water, wind, tides, and even
               human resources can be represented in terms of exergy flows. There-
               fore, exergy can be used as a universal indicator to measure eco-
               efficiency and sustainability in industrial-ecological systems [19].
               This method has the unique capability to quantify the contributions
               of most ecosystem services and is particularly useful for analyzing
               new technologies when detailed process-level data are nonexistent. It
               is also useful for aggregation of environmental impacts, since it cor-
               rectly accounts for the differences in quality among various resources
               (e.g., energy from sunlight is much lower in quality than electrical
               energy).
                   An example of an ethanol life-cycle assessment that incorporates
               exergy analysis is shown in Figure 9.3. This study uses a hybrid
               methodology, combining a detailed process model of corn ethanol
               production with the above-described Eco-LCA™ model of the U.S.
               economy (see below) to represent commodity flows from outside
               the process boundaries. Based on this approach, Figure 9.4 shows
               the results of a comparative life-cycle study of biofuels in terms of
               two sustainability metrics—renewability (percentage from renewable
               sources) and return on energy (mega joules delivered per megajoule
               required over the life cycle). This analysis indicates that the sustain-
               ability of fuel derived from municipal solid waste is far superior to
               corn ethanol, which requires energy-intensive harvesting. Gasoline
               has the highest return on energy, although it is not renewable [20].
               Predictive Simulation
               The methods described above are useful for assessing the perfor-
               mance of a design with respect to specific environmental indicators.
               However, at some point in the new product development process,
               there is a need to consider the trade-offs between environmental fac-
               tors and other important objectives—cost, quality, manufacturability,
               reliability, and so forth. If environmental performance were inde-
               pendent of these other factors, they could be analyzed separately.
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