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                            140                   Parametric Families of Distributions

                            with probability 1 under the distribution of Y with parameter η 0 .It follows that η is not
                            identifiable if and only if, with probability 1 under the distribution with parameter η 0 ,
                                                          T
                                                  (η 1 − η 2 ) T (Y) = k(η 2 ) − k(η 1 ).
                            That is, η is not identifiable if and only if T (Y) has a degenerate distribution under the
                            distribution with parameter η 0 . Since η 0 is arbitrary, it follows that η is not identifiable if and
                            only if T (Y) has a degenerate distribution under all η 0 ∈ H. Equivalently, η is identifiable
                            if and only if T (Y) has a nondegenerate distribution for some η 0 ∈ H.


                              An important property of the natural parameter space H is that it is convex; also, the
                            function k is a convex function.


                            Theorem 5.1. Consider an m-dimensional exponential family of probability distributions
                                                       T
                                                  exp{η T (y) − k(η)}h(y), y ∈ Y.
                            Then the natural parameter space H is a convex set and k is a convex function.


                            Proof. We give the proof for the case in which the distribution is absolutely continuous.
                            Let η 1 and η 2 denote elements of H and let 0 < t < 1. By the H¨older inequality,

                                            T         T
                                     exp  tη +(1 − t)η  T (y) h(y) dy
                                            1         2
                                    Y

                                                T               T
                                     =   exp tη T (y) exp (1 − t)η T (y) h(y) dy
                                               1
                                                                2
                                        Y

                                                      t           (1−t)
                                                T           T
                                     =   exp η T (y) exp η T (y)    h(y) dy
                                                           2
                                               1
                                        Y
                                                             t                      (1−t)

                                                 T                      T
                                     ≤     exp η T (y) h(y) dy    exp η T (y) h(y) dy   < ∞.
                                                1                      2
                                         Y                      Y
                            It follows that tη 1 + (1 − t)η 2 ∈ H and, hence, that H is convex. Furthermore,
                                          exp{k(tη 1 + (1 − t)η 2 )}≤ exp{tk(η 1 ) + (1 − t)k(η 2 )},
                            proving that k is a convex function.
                              The function k is called the cumulant function of the family. This terminology is based
                            on the fact that if the natural parameter space is open set, in which case the exponential
                            family is said to be regular, then the cumulant-generating function of T (Y) may be written
                            in terms of k.
                            Theorem 5.2. Let Y denote a random variable with model function of the form
                                                      T
                                                  exp{η T (y) − k(η)}h(y), y ∈ Y,
                            where η ∈ H and H is an open set. Then the cumulant-generating function of T (Y) under
                            the distribution with parameter η ∈ H is given by
                                                                         m
                                            K T (t; η) = k(η + t) − k(η), t ∈ R , 	t	 <δ
                            for some δ> 0.
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