Page 338 - Elements of Distribution Theory
P. 338

P1: JZP
            052184472Xc11  CUNY148/Severini  May 24, 2005  17:56





                            324                 Approximation of Probability Distributions

                              Of course, we expect that X 1 , X 2 ,... converges in distribution to a random variable
                            identically equal to 0; such a random variable has distribution function

                                                              0if x < 0
                                                      F(x) =             .
                                                              1if x ≥ 0
                            Thus, lim n→∞ F n (x) = F(x)at all x  = 0, that is, at all x at which F is continuous. Hence,
                               D
                            X n → 0as n →∞, where 0 may be viewed as the random variable equal to 0 with proba-
                            bility 1. However, if we require convergence of F n (x) for all x, X n would not have a limiting
                            distribution.


                              Often the random variables under consideration will require some type of standardization
                            in order to obtain a useful convergence result.


                            Example11.3 (Minimumofuniformrandomvariables). LetY 1 , Y 2 ,... denoteasequence
                            of independent, identically distributed random variables, each with a uniform distribution on
                            (0, 1). Suppose we are interested in approximating the distribution of T n = min(Y 1 ,..., Y n ).
                            For each n = 1, 2,..., T n has distribution function

                                             H n (t) = Pr(T n ≤ t) = Pr{min(Y 1 ,..., Y n ) ≤ t}
                                                      0          if t < 0

                                                  =   1 − (1 − t) n  if 0 ≤ t < 1.
                                                      1          if t ≥ 1
                            Fix t. Then
                                                                 0if t ≤ 0

                                                     lim H n (t) =
                                                    n→∞          1if t > 0
                            so that, as n →∞, T n converges in distribution to the random variable identically equal to
                            0. Hence, for any t > 0, Pr{min(Y 1 ,..., Y n ) ≤ t} can be approximated by 1. Clearly, this
                            approximation will not be very useful, or very accurate.
                                                                                               α
                              Now consider standardization of T n .For each n = 1, 2,..., let X n = n T n ≡
                            n min(Y 1 ,..., Y n ) where α is a given constant. Then, for each n = 1, 2,..., X n has distri-
                            bution function
                                                                                    α
                                          F n (x; α) = Pr(X n ≤ x) = Pr{min(Y 1 ,..., Y n ) ≤ x/n }
                                                     0              if x < 0

                                                                              α
                                                               α n
                                                 =   1 − (1 − x/n )  if 0 ≤ x < n .
                                                     1              if x ≥ n α
                            Fix x > 0. Then
                                                              1           if α< 1

                                               lim F n (x; α) =  1 − exp(−x)if α = 1 .
                                               n→∞
                                                              0           if α> 1
                              Thus, if α< 1, X n converges in distribution to the degenerate random variable 0, while
                            if α> 1, X n does not converge in distribution. However, if α = 1,

                                                           0           if x < 0
                                            lim F n (x; α) =
                                            n→∞            1 − exp(−x)if 0 ≤ x < ∞,
   333   334   335   336   337   338   339   340   341   342   343