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                            338                 Approximation of Probability Distributions


                                            D          2                                          2
                            number α, then X n → N(0, 1 + α )as n →∞. Furthermore, since for any (t 1 , t 2 ) ∈ R ,
                            t 1 X n + t 2 Y n = t 1 Z 1 + (t 2 + α n t 1 )Z 2 has characteristic function
                                                      2           2  2
                                                exp{−[t + (t 2 + α n t 1 ) ]s /2},  s ∈ R,
                                                      1
                            which converges to
                                                                 2
                                                                    2
                                                       2
                                                exp{−[t + (t 2 + αt 1 ) ]s /2},  s ∈ R,
                                                      1
                            it follows that t 1 X n + t 2 Y n converges in distribution to a random variable with a normal
                                                                      2
                                                           2
                            distribution with mean 0 and variance t + (t 2 + αt 1 ) . Hence, by Theorem 11.6,
                                                           1

                                                            X n  D
                                                                → W,
                                                            Y n
                            where W has a bivariate normal distribution with mean vector 0 and covariance matrix
                                                                2
                                                           1 + α  α
                                                                      .
                                                             α    1
                                                                             D
                                                      n
                              Now suppose that α n = (−1) , n = 1, 2,.... Clearly, Y n → Z 2 as n →∞ still holds.
                                                         n
                            Furthermore, since X n = Z 1 + (−1) Z 2 ,it follows that, for each n = 1, 2,..., X n has a
                                                                            D
                            normal distribution with mean 0 and variance 2; hence, X n → N(0, 2) as n →∞.How-
                                                                              n
                            ever, consider the distribution of X n + Y n = Z 1 + (1 + (−1) )Z 2 . This distribution has
                            characteristic function
                                                                  2
                                                            exp(−s /2)  for n = 1, 3, 5,...
                                                n 2  2
                               exp{−[1 + (1 + (−1) ) ]s /2}=       2                    , s ∈ R.
                                                            exp(−5s /2)  for n = 2, 4, 6,...
                            Hence, by Theorem 11.2, X n + Y n does not converge in distribution so that, by
                            Theorem 11.6, the random vector (X n , Y n ) does not converge in distribution.
                                                 11.3 Convergence in Probability
                            A sequence of real-valued random variables X 1 , X 2 ,... converges in distribution to a ran-
                            dom variable X if the distribution functions of X 1 , X 2 ,... converge to that of X.Itis
                            important to note that this type of convergence says nothing about the relationship between
                            the random variables X n and X.
                              Suppose that the sequence X 1 , X 2 ,... is such that |X n − X| becomes small with high
                            probability as n →∞;in this case, we say that X n converges in probability to X. More
                            precisely, a sequence of real-valued random variables X 1 , X 2 ,... converges in probability
                            to a real-valued random variable X if, for any  > 0,

                                                     lim Pr(|X n − X|≥  ) = 0.
                                                    n→∞
                                                             p
                            We will denote this convergence by X n → X as n →∞. Note that for this definition to
                            make sense, for each n, X and X n must be defined on the same underlying sample space, a
                            requirement that did not arise in the definition of convergence in distribution.

                            Example 11.11 (Sequence of Bernoulli random variables). Let X 1 , X 2 ,... denote a
                            sequence of real-valued random variables such that
                                           Pr(X n = 1) = 1 − Pr(X n = 0) = θ n ,  n = 1, 2,...
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