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CHAPTER 14        NONLINEAR REGRESSION USNG THE SOLVER               315



               k, = 0.64 in Figure  14-2) become the new  initial  estimates and  the process  is
               repeated, using smaller bracketing values.  Years ago this procedure, called "pit-
               mapping," was performed on early digital computers.
                   In  essence we  are  mapping  out the  error  surface, in  a  sort of topographic
               way, searching for the minimum.  A typical error surface is shown in Figure 14-3
                (the  logarithm  of the  SSresiduals has  been  plotted  to make  the  minimum  in  the
                surface more obvious in the chart).

















                        Figure 14-2.  The error-square sums for an array of initial estimates.
                                    The minimum SSresiduals value is in bold.






























                                        Figure 14-3.  An error surface
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