Page 152 - Failure Analysis Case Studies II
P. 152

137
                       of evidence pointed to the brittle fracture initiation occurring as the vessel encountered head seas
                       near the ice edge subsequent to the manoeuvring in the ice field, the failure initiation in the port
                       bilge keel having been triggered by wave impact on the bow.
                         As described in the paper by  Corlett et al. [3],  the period spent in the ice almost certainly led to
                       the general cooling down of the longitudinals and the shell beneath the water-line, as the bunker oil
                       solidified on the inner surface of the vessel in the calm conditions  in the ice field. Without this
                       general lowering of the temperature of the ship plate to its NDT (nil ductility temperature) value,
                       the primary initiation induced in the port bilge keel would not have propagated with such disastrous
                       consequences.  As noted in the failure investigation [l], there was evidence of other bilge keel details
                       which had cracked at some earlier occasion, but had not propagated into the ship’s structure.
                         The fracture mechanics calculations performed in the failure investigation and referred to by the
                       report of the court [2] were performed using the BSI PD6493 1980 procedures with an adjustment
                       to remove the inherent factors of safety in the analysis to facilitate critical predictions as described
                       in [4]. Subsequently, this analysis method was updated in  1991, and the Kurdistan casualty was re-
                       examined as part of the validation exercise along with many large-scale laboratory tests and other
                       well-documented failures [5].
                         The reanalysis is illustrated in Fig. 26 using the level 2 procedure of BSI PD6493: 1991 with weld
                       metal CTOD values relating to the low and medium strain rates. Assessment points are drawn for
                       stress inputs of 100, 150 and 200 Nmm-*, assuming a yield strength of 227 and 300 Nmm-2, relating
                       to plate  and  weld  metal,  respectively. The  reanalysis indicates that  failure (indicated by  points
                       outside the failure locus) would, in fact, have been possible at low strain rates as the higher load
                       level is approached. For the intermediate rate, CTOD toughness failure is predicted for the still-
                       water condition of 100 N mm-2. This reanalysis confirms the criticality of the combination of high
                       applied stresses (due to the combination  of cargo loads, wave loads and hot cargo in cold seas),
                       high residual stresses, the presence of a significant weld defect, and low toughness.
                         The toughness of the weld was, of course, prejudiced by the incorrect weld procedure, but also


                                           (a)
                                       1.4  -                           Unsafe
                                          -
                                        1.2
                                      & 1.0
                                       0.8  -  Safe
                                      V
                                     -7  0.6  -
                                          -  A CTOD = 0.04 mm, yield strength = 227 N mm-2 1
                                            0  CTOD = 0.04 mm, yield strength = 300 N mrK2
                                          -   A CTOD = 0.1 mm, yield strength = 227 N mm-*
                                       0.2   o CTOD = 0.1 mm, yield strength = 300 N mmS2
                                          1            a                    I
                                                              I
                                         0     0.2     0.4   0.6    0.8    I .a   I .2
                                                             Sr
                                          -  (b)
                                        1.4                  A          Unsafe
                                                        0










                                         0      0.2    0.4   0.6    0.8    I .o    2
                                                              Sr
                           Fig.  26.  (a)  MV  Kurdistan  level  2  assessments-mbedded   defect  assumption.  (b) MV  Kurdislan  level  2
                           assessments  surface defect assumption.
   147   148   149   150   151   152   153   154   155   156   157