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                    120  Chapter 4  Quantities of Water and Wastewater Flows
                                                Table 4.2  U.S. Census Dates and Intervals Between Censuses

                                                Year           Date                    Census Interval, Years
                                                1790–1820      First Monday in August  Approximately 10
                                                1830–1900      June1                   Exactly 10, except between
                                                                                         1820 and 1830
                                                1910           April 15                9.875
                                                1920           January 1               9.708
                                                1930           April 1                 10.250
                                                1940–2010      April 1                 Exactly 10



                    4.2  DESIGN POPULATION

                    4.2.1  Population Data
                                         For information on the population of given communities or regions at a given time, en-
                                         gineers turn to the records of official censuses or enumerations. The U.S. government
                                         has conducted a decennial census since 1790. Some state and local enumerations pro-
                                         vide additional information, usually for years ending in 5, and results of special surveys
                                         sponsored by public authorities or private agencies for political, social, or commercial
                                         purposes may also be available. United State census dates and intervals between cen-
                                         suses are listed in Table 4.2.
                                             The information obtained in the decennial censuses is published by the U.S.
                                         Bureau of the Census, Department of Commerce. Political or geographic subdivisions
                                         for which population data are collated vary downward in size from the country as a
                                         whole, to its coterminous portion only, individual states and counties, metropolitan
                                         districts, cities and wards, townships and towns, and—in large communities—census
                                         tracts. The tracts are areas of substantially the same size and large enough to house
                                         3,000 to 6,000 people.


                    4.2.2  Population Growth
                                         Populations increase by births, decrease by deaths, and change with migration.
                                         Communities also grow by annexation. Urbanization and industrialization bring about so-
                                         cial and economic changes as well as growth. Educational and employment opportunities
                                         and medical care are among the desirable changes. Among unwanted changes are the cre-
                                         ation of slums and the pollution of air, water, and soil. Least predictable of the effects on
                                         growth are changes in commercial and industrial activity. Examples are furnished in Table 4.3
                                         (a) for Detroit, Michigan, where the automobile industry was responsible for a rapid rise in
                                         population between 1910 and 1950; (b) for Providence, Rhode Island, where competition
                                         with southern textile mills was reflected in low rates of population growth after 1910; and
                                         (c) for Miami, Florida, where recreation added a new and important element to prosperity
                                         from 1910 onward.
                                             Were it not for industrial vagaries of the Providence type, human population kinet-
                                         ics would trace an S-shaped growth curve in much the same way as spatially con-
                                         strained microbial populations. As shown in Fig. 4.1, the trend of seed populations is
                                         progressively faster at the beginning and progressively slower toward the end as a satu-
                                         ration value or upper limit is approached. What the future holds for a given community,
                                         therefore, is seen to depend on where on the growth curve the community happens to be
                                         at a given time.
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