Page 148 - Marky Stein - Fearless Career Change_ The Fast Track to Success in a New Field (2004)
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Fearless Career Change


             why many career coaches are beginning to advocate the use of
             direct-contact techniques in the unadvertised job market. Finding
             an unadvertised job opening is somewhat of a numbers game.
             Studies show that anywhere from 1 in 12 direct-contact phone calls
             (in a healthy job market) will yield an opening and that the odds
             of finding an opportunity in a slower market are 1 in 20. Can you
             predict an opening in the unadvertised job market before placing
             a call or sending a letter of inquiry? It’s difficult, but several guide-
             lines can help you choose the kinds of companies that are more
             likely to present potential positions.

                 1. It’s important to remember that very large companies in
                    the process of massively downsizing may also be hiring at
                    the same time. That’s because layoffs usually take place by
                    job function or departments rather than by arbitrary num-
                    bers. Hundreds, even thousands, can get laid off in the
                    manufacturing department while scores of people are get-
                    ting hired in sales or human resources. Similarly, sales
                    could be waning while manufacturing is booming! A com-
                    pany may be skimming off upper-management positions
                    while actively hiring for entry-level functions.
                        Therefore, just because you read in the newspaper that
                    there has been a huge layoff at a company does not mean
                    that you should omit that company from your list of poten-
                    tial workplaces.
                 2. There is no way to make an absolute judgment about how
                    many people might be hired at some point in the future,
                    but there are ways to make educated guesses about the
                    probability that an organization is increasing its head
                    count. Two ways to make such a determination are with the
                    help of the following resources:
                    •Your local newspaper, the Wall Street Journal, INC. maga-
                      zine, or Forbes magazine. Find stories that mention a local
                      plant or corporation is opening new offices in your area.
                      These offices and plants will need staffing and manage-
                      ment even though the company may not be advertising
                      the openings yet.
                           The same thing applies to companies conspicuously
                      reporting new projects or products. They may not need


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