Page 119 - Fundamentals of Communications Systems
P. 119

Review of Probability and Random Variables  3.33

          3.5 Example Solutions
                      Problem 3.26. Using 24 hour time keeping to produce a mapping from time to a
                      real number results in a uniform dialing model for the placement of calls having
                      a PDF given as
                                                       1
                                               f T (t) =   0 ≤ t ≤ 24
                                                       24
                                                    = 0    elsewhere                     (3.43)

                                                                1           24

                      (a) P (A) = P (0 ≤ t ≤ 1 ∪ 19 ≤ t ≤ 24) =  f T (t)dt +  f T (t)dt = 1/24 +
                                                               0           19
                          5/24 = 1/4.
                      (b) Here we use total probability over events A and B.
                          P (C) = P (C|A)P (A) + P (C|B)P (B) = 0.1 × 0.25 + 0.75 × 0.75 = 0.5875.
                                                                                         (3.44)
                          Note here use was made of P (B) = 1 − P (A) = 0.75.
                       (c) Using the definition of conditional probability gives P (A∩ C) = P (A, C) =
                          P (C|A)

                          P (A) = 0.25 × 0.1 = 0.025.
                      (d) Here we use the definition of conditional probability.
                                                    P (A, C)  0.025
                                          P (A|C) =         =        = 0.04255           (3.45)
                                                     P (C)    0.5875
                          Note, if we had not completed parts (b) and (c), then we could have used
                          Bayes rule
                                          P (C|A)P (A)          P (C|A)P (A)
                                P (A|C) =             =                                  (3.46)
                                             P (C)      P (C|A)P (A) + P (C|B)P (B)
                      Problem 3.27.

                                                 φ
                             (φ) = P (  p ≤ φ) =       (x)dx. Given that
                      (a) F   p                    f   p
                                                −∞
                                                        1
                                                  (x) =       − π ≤ x ≤ π
                                               f   p
                                                       2π
                                                     = 0       elsewhere                 (3.47)
                          gives
                                                (φ) = 0         φ ≤−π
                                             F   p
                                                      φ + π
                                                    =           − π ≤ φ ≤ π
                                                       2π
                                                    = 1         φ ≥ π                    (3.48)
   114   115   116   117   118   119   120   121   122   123   124