Page 403 - Hydrocarbon Exploration and Production Second Edition
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390                                                    Managing the Subsurface


                 1st Exploration Well  1st Production  Discover Extension  Field Review  Abandon
                     1st Appraisal Well











              Estimate of UR






















                Exploration  Appraisal  Planning  Production            Time




          Figure 16.5  Typical change of estimate of UR during the ¢eld life.

          rate of movement of the HCWC can be tracked. This is useful in determining the
          displacement in the reservoir, as well as the encroachment of an aquifer.
             During the producing life of the field, data is continuously gathered and used to
          update the reservoir model, and reduce the uncertainties in the estimate of STOIIP
          and UR. The following diagram indicates how the range of uncertainty in the
          estimate of UR may change over the field life cycle. An improved understanding of
          the reservoir helps in selecting better plans for further development, and may lead to
          increases in the estimate of UR. This is not always the case; the realisation of a more
          complex reservoir than previously described, or parts of the anticipated reservoir
          eroded for example, would reduce the estimate of UR (Figure 16.5).

          16.1.2. The well performance

          The objective of managing the well performance in the scheme shown in
          Figure 16.1 is to reduce the constraints which the well might impose on the
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