Page 111 - Improving Machinery Reliability
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Muchinery Reliability Audits and Reviews   83

                   plants in this size range experience emergency shutdowns of  a few hours’ duration,
                   flare losses alone can amount to $400,000 or more. Evidently, the incentives to build
                   reliability into the machinery installation are very high. This is generally recognized
                   by contractors  and plant owners who allocate funds and personnel to conduct relia-
                   bility reviews before taking delivery of the machinery, during its installation, or even
                   after the plant goes on stream.
                     Of course, reliability assurance efforts made before delivery of the machinery are
                   more cost effective  than post-delivery  or post-startup  endeavors  aimed toward  the
                   same goals. However, the questions remain how to optimally conduct these efforts,
                   how  to man  them,  and which components  or systems to subject to close  scrutiny.
                   This is where an analysis of  available failure statistics will prove helpful. A review
                   of the failure statistics of rotating machinery used in modern process plants will help
                   determine where the company’s money should be spent for highest probable returns.
                   Moreover, failure statistics can often be used to determine the value of and justifica-
                   tion for these efforts.
                     Experience shows that a petrochemical project in  the $800,000,000 range would
                   optimally  staff  machinery  reliability  audits  with  four engineers for  a four-month
                   period,  and  machinery  reliability  reviews  with  two engineers for a period  of  2-3
                   years. The total cost of these efforts would be in the league of $800,000-$950,000. If
                   this sounds like a lot of money, the reader may wish to contrast it with the value of a
                   single startup delay day, say $550,000, or the cost of two unforeseen days of down-
                   time-perhaps   accompanied by the thunder of two tall flare stacks for the better por-
                   tion of two days.
                     Machinery reliability  audits and reviews can be  a tremendously worthwhile
                   investment as long as they are performed by  experienced engineers. Of course, this
                   presupposes that a perceptive project manager will see to it that the resulting recom-
                   mendations are, in fact, implemented.



                                       Rotordynamic Design Audits*
                     By  far the most prevalent and also most important design audit effort is focused
                   on turbomachinery rotordynamics. It is in this area that design weaknesses can often
                   be  spotted  and appropriate  changes implemented  before  the equipment  leaves  the
                   manufacturer’s  shop. Large multinational  petrochemical  companies  are sometimes
                   staffed to handle these audits. However, in most instances this audit task is entrusted
                   to independent consulting companies with the experience and technical resources to
                   perform this critically important task soon after a purchase order has been issued.


                         .            ~.. ...
                   ~    ~                                       ~   ~~   ~~~   ~~~~
                   “Source: J. C. Wachel, Engineering Dynamics Inc., San Antonio, Texas, USA. Originally presented
                    at the  15th Turbomachinery Symposium, Texas A&M  University,  Corpus Christi, Texas,  1986.
                    Reprinted by permission.
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