Page 301 - Improving Machinery Reliability
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272    Improving Machinety Reliability

                    out” pumps were originally  furnished  with conventional  stuffing boxes that could
                    accommodate only relatively small diameter mechanical seals. Whenever one of the
                    plant’s  417 pumps  undergoes  a shop repair, new  covers with considerably  more
                    favorable seal housing dimensions are fitted to the casing. The bottom line results
                    show that after two years of routinely upgrading in this manner, the value of avoided
                    repairs  ($362,152) exceeds the additional maintenance cost outlay ($344,960) for
                    installing the pump enhancements.

                     Many Different Cost Justification Methods are Available to the Reliability
                     Professional
                      We have  attempted  to show how  a  number of  straightforward  calculation
                     approaches can be, and are being applied, to determine life cycle costs, cost-benefit
                     ratios, or payback periods for reliability improvements in process plants. A resource-
                     ful reliability professional will, of course, diligently collect and compile failure sta-
                     tistics for equipment and components at his or her plant site. However, this diligent
                     professional would continue to reach out for other data sources to augment and vali-
                     date in-house data.  It should be obvious that much  of these  “other” data could be
                     used for the purpose of setting goals and would allow comparisons among plants or
                     industry segments.
                      Finally,  the occasional  lack  of data need not be  a deterrent to making judicious
                     assumptions and well-explained “educated guesses.” While our estimates may some-
                     times be a  bit  off  the mark, pursuing the various  cost justification options will
                     always be better than the status quo, or a complacent “business-as-usual” approach
                     to equipment reliability improvement.


                               Life Cycle Cost Assessment: The Rigorous Method*

                       Life cycle costs (LCC) are summations of cost estimates from inception to dispos-
                     al for both equipment and projects as determined by an analytical study and estimate
                     of  total  costs experienced during the lifetime of  the equipment. The objective  of
                     LCC analysis is to choose the most cost-effective approach from a series of alterna-
                     tives so the least long-term cost of ownership is achieved.
                       LCC analysis  helps  engineers justify  equipment  and process  selection  based on
                     total costs rather than the initial purchase price. Usually the cost of operation, main-
                     tenance, and disposal costs exceed all other costs many times over. Life cycle costs
                     are the total costs estimated  to be incurred in the design, development, production,
                     operation,  maintenance,  support, and final disposition of  a major  system over its
                     anticipated useful life span. The best balance among cost elements is achieved when
                     the total  LCC is minimized.  As  with  most engineering  tools, LCC provides  best
                     results when both art and science are merged with good judgment.



                     *Contributed by  H. Paul  Barringer, P. E., Barringer & Associates, Inc., Humble, TX and David P.
                      Weber, D. Weber Systems, Inc., Maineville OH.
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