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266                                               Managing Global Warming

             8.10.6 Climate change issues 309
         8.11 Hydropower in the future—Potential deployment  310
             8.11.1 Energy production 310
             8.11.2 Pumped-storage hydropower 311
         8.12 Summary 312
         References 313



         8.1   Introduction

         Hydropower is a renewable energy source where electrical energy is derived from the
         potential energy of water moving from high to lower elevation. Hydropower is a
         mature technology and widely used; in 2016, a total of 159 countries in the world
         reported to have developed hydropower. Hydropower is among the most efficient
         technologies for production of renewable electrical energy, with a typical efficiency
         of 90% or better for, “water-to-wire.” Hydropower is cost competitive, and is today
         the only renewable technology that can produce electricity at equal or lower cost,
         compared to thermal energy sources like coal, oil, or gas, typically in the range of
         US2–5c (kWh)  1  (2–5 US cents per kilowatt hour).
            Hydropower has a high potential for carbon emissions reductions in the global elec-
         tricity system due to low greenhouse gas emissions (GHG), and a large potential for
         further capacity increase with low generation cost, compared to both other renewables
         and to thermal power plants. In total, generation by hydropower contributed nearly
         17% of the worldwide electricity supply in 2016, implying that >1 billion people cov-
         ered their electricity demand from hydropower. Hydropower is the third largest source
         of electricity generation, behind coal (39%) and natural gas (22%) but far ahead of
         nuclear (10%) (Fig. 8.1).
            Hydropower is the largest source of renewable energy in the electricity sector with
         a share of 68% of the renewables, more than twice all other renewables combined
         (32%). The technical potential for increased hydropower generation is large enough
         to meet substantial further deployment both in the medium (2030) and long term
         (2050). A realistic scenario is to double the annual generation (4102TWh in 2016)
         to over 8000TWh by 2050.
            Adding to its contribution to energy generation, hydropower has a vital role in
         supporting grid stability, security of supply, energy storage, and balancing
         unregulated generation from other renewables like wind and solar power. In addition
         to energy and grid services, hydro reservoirs can deliver other important services such
         as water supply, irrigation, flood control, navigation, and recreation. Environmental
         and social concerns, unless carefully managed, represent challenges for further
         deployment of hydropower.
            The first known hydropower plant (HPP) was installed in a house in Cragside,
         Rothbury, England, in 1870. Industrial use of hydropower started in 1880 in Grand
         Rapids, Michigan, when a dynamo driven by a water turbine was used to provide light-
         ing. A major breakthrough came when an electric generator was coupled to the water
         turbine and created the world’s first hydroelectric power station (of 12.5-kW capacity)
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