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550                                                       Part V Risk Assessment

                Marine System Risk
                Only cargo tank system for oil storage is considered herein. The cargo tanks are provided with
                inert gas system and crude oil washing system. Explosion and fire may occur in cargo tanks
                although there  is  a  lack  of  incident  data  for  the  frequency quantification. A  cargo  tank
                explosion may cause structural damage and damage to the process plant. This would probably
                result in a hydrocarbon leak from process system and a possible subsequent fire in the process
                area. Immediate fatalities are mainly due to the effect of the explosion in the process area.
                Smoke  may  be  a  treat  to  personnel  safety.  The  potential  risk  reduction  measures  are:
                improving procedures for tank intervention,
                  improving reliability of the inert gas system,
               . installing  thrusters  to  allow  the  vessel  to  change  heading  (to  avoid  fire  engulf  the
                  accommodation) and,
                  improving the firelblast protection of the front wall of the accommodation (Nesje et al,
                  1999).
               Collision Risk
               The  wing  tanks  of  the  vessel  ballasted  with  water  would  provide  dual  barrier  against
               puncturing of the cargo tanks. Measures for collision avoidance and consequence reduction
               include radar surveillance, having a standby vessel, developing hazard management plans and
               installation of thrusters to reduce target for a drifting vessel on a collision course. Protection of
               risers, offloading lines and fluid transfer lines shall be designed to meet the energy absorption
               requirements.
               MacDonald et a1 (1999) provided an overview of the ship/FPSO collision risks and presented
               methodologies that can be applied to quantify the frequency and consequences of these events.
               Measures that have potential to reduce the risk of ship collision are highlighted focusing on the
               scenarios most likely to result in pollution, loss of life and asset and production lossldelay.
               Explosion Risk
               In the detail design phase, explosion risk is estimated and effort is made to minimize explosion
               overpressures. Hydrocarbon lines, riserlfluid transfer lines are appropriately routed such that
               possible leakage on main decks is minimized.
               Fire Risk
               Jet  fires  and  pool  fires  may  represent risks  to  equipment.  The  design  fire  duration  is
               determined considering the ability of personnel to escape to a safe location and the reduction
               of the pollution of hydrocarbon to the environment.
               Dropped Object Risk
               The design criteria for equipment protection depend on the size and location of the lifts and
               the frequency of their operations. Normally a dropped object study is conducted as part of the
               detail design in which credible dropped weight and the  loads acting on  the  equipment are
               calculated, structural response and failure frequency are estimated.
               30.6.5  Comparative Risk Analysis

               Risk assessment may also be applied in a comparative risk analysis that compares a particular
               design  with  other designs that  have  been  accepted  to  have  adequate level  of  safety. For
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