Page 204 - Modeling of Chemical Kinetics and Reactor Design
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174    Modeling of Chemical Kinetics and Reactor Design

                              the relative error in the concentration measurement [0.01C AO /C (t)]
                                                                                           A
                              increases with time. It is possible to minimize the sum of N measure-
                              ments by:

                                     N
                                 σ = ∑ W i  i ( [ y exp  tl ) − (calc )] 2              (3-236)
                                  2
                                                     y
                                                      i
                                      = i  1
                              where W  is the weighing factor.
                                      i
                                The weighted least-squares analysis is important for estimating para-
                              meter involving exponents. Examples are the concentration time data
                                                                                        –kt
                              for an irreversible first order reaction expressed by C  = C AO e , and
                                                                               A
                              the reaction rate-temperature data expressed by  − ( r A ) = k C e  −E a  RT .
                                                                                      A
                                                                                    O
                              These equations are of the form
                                Y = Ae –BX                                              (3-237)
                              where Y = C  or (–r ) and X = t or 1/T, respectively.
                                          A       A
                                Linearizing Equation 3-237 gives
                                ln Y = ln A – BX                                        (3-238)
                                It is also possible to determine A and B that minimize the weighted
                              sum of squares.  The weighting function is the square of the inde-
                              pendent variable, and the function to be minimized is

                                     N
                                 σ =  ∑ i 2 [ yln  i (exp  tl )−ln  y i (calc )] 2      (3-239)
                                  2
                                       y
                                      = i  1
                                        VALIDITY OF LEAST SQUARES FITTING

                                The validity of least squares model fitting is dependent on four
                              principal assumptions concerning the random error term  ε, which is
                              inherent in the use of least squares. The assumptions as illustrated by
                              Bacon and Downie [6] are as follows:

                                Assumption 1:  The values of the operating variables are known
                                exactly. In practice, this is interpreted to mean that any uncertainty
                                associated with a value of an operating variable has much less effect
                                on the response value than the uncertainty associated with a measured
                                value of the response itself.
                                Assumption 2: The form of the model is appropriate. Statistically, this
                                is expressed as E(ε) = 0 for all data, where ε is the random error.
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