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                                                                               Chapter 4 Evaluating Analytical Data  73

                        the probability, we substitute appropriate values into the binomial
                        equation
                                        27 !
                                                       0
                                                                    -
                                  )
                                                 0
                             P(,027 =          ´ (.0111 ) ´ (1 -  . 0 0111 ) 27 0  = . 0 740
                                     027 -  0 )!
                                      !(
                        There is therefore a 74.0% probability that a molecule of cholesterol will
                                         13
                        not have an atom of  C.
                                                                    13
                        A portion of the binomial distribution for atoms of  C in cholesterol is
                     shown in Figure 4.5. Note in particular that there is little probability of finding
                                         13
                     more than two atoms of  C in any molecule of cholesterol.
                              0.8
                              0.7
                              0.6
                            Probability  0.5

                              0.4
                              0.3
                              0.2
                              0.1
                                                                                        Figure 4.5
                                0                                                       Portion of the binomial distribution for the
                                      0       1       2        3       4        5       number of naturally occurring  C atoms in a
                                                                                                           13
                                     Number of atoms of carbon-13 in a molecule of cholesterol  molecule of cholesterol.


                 Normal Distribution  The binomial distribution describes a population whose
                                                                                  13
                 members have only certain, discrete values. This is the case with the number of  C
                 atoms in a molecule, which must be an integer number no greater then the number
                 of carbon atoms in the molecule. A molecule, for example, cannot have 2.5 atoms of
                 13 C. Other populations are considered continuous, in that members of the popula-
                 tion may take on any value.
                     The most commonly encountered continuous distribution is the Gaussian, or
                 normal distribution, where the frequency of occurrence for a value, X, is given by  normal distribution
                                                                                         “Bell-shaped” probability distribution
                                                               2
                                              1       é  ( -  X -m ) ù                   curve for measurements and results
                                      (
                                     fX) =           exp ê  2   ú                        showing the effect of random error.
                                             2ps 2    ë   2s    û
                 The shape of a normal distribution is determined by two parameters, the first of
                 which is the population’s central, or true mean value, m, given as
                                                    N
                                                 å    X i
                                             m=    i = 1
                                                    n
                 where n is the number of members in the population. The second parameter is the
                                     2
                 population’s variance, s , which is calculated using the following equation*
                                                 N        2
                                               å   (X i  -  m )
                                           2
                                          s =    i = 1                            4.8
                                                     n
                 *Note the difference between the equation for a population’s variance, which includes the term n in the denominator,
                 and the similar equation for the variance of a sample (the square of equation 4.3), which includes the term n – 1 in the
                 denominator. The reason for this difference is discussed later in the chapter.
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