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                                                                               Chapter 4 Evaluating Analytical Data  75

                         0.08
                         0.07
                         0.06
                      f (mg aspirin)  0.05
                         0.04
                         0.03
                         0.02
                                                                                           Normal distribution for population of
                         0.01                                                              Figure 4.7
                                                                                           aspirin tablets with m= 250 mg aspirin
                           0
                                                                                               2
                                                                                           and s = 25. The shaded area shows
                            210    220    230    240    250    260     270    280    290
                                                                                           the percentage of tablets containing
                                                     Aspirin (mg)                          between 243 and 262 mg of aspirin.
                                                 243  -250
                                           z low =        =-14
                                                              .
                                                    5
                     and the deviation for the upper limit is
                                                262  -250
                                           z up =        =+24
                                                             .
                                                    5
                     Using the table in Appendix 1A, we find that the percentage of tablets with less
                     than 243 mg of aspirin is 8.08%, and the percentage of tablets with more than
                     262 mg of aspirin is 0.82%. The percentage of tablets containing between 243
                     and 262 mg of aspirin is therefore

                                      100.00% – 8.08% – 0.82 % = 91.10%



                                                                             4
                 4 3   Confidence Intervals for Populations           Table  .11 Confidence Intervals for Normal
                   D.
                                                                                   Distribution Curves Between
                 If we randomly select a single member from a pop-                 the Limits m± zs
                 ulation, what will be its most likely value? This is an
                 important question, and, in one form or another, it is  z             Confidence Interval (%)
                 the fundamental problem for any analysis. One of the  0.50                   38.30
                 most important features of a population’s probability  1.00                  68.26
                 distribution is that it provides a way to answer this  1.50                  86.64
                 question.                                           1.96                     95.00
                     Earlier we noted that 68.26% of a normally distrib-  2.00                95.44
                 uted population is found within the range of m±1s. Stat-  2.50               98.76
                 ing this another way, there is a 68.26% probability that a  3.00             99.73
                 member selected at random from a normally distributed  3.50                  99.95
                 population will have a value in the interval of m±1s. In
                 general, we can write

                                              X i = m±zs                          4.9
                 where the factor z accounts for the desired level of confidence. Values reported
                 in this fashion are called confidence intervals. Equation 4.9, for example, is the  confidence interval
                 confidence interval for a single member of a population. Confidence intervals  Range of results around a mean value
                 can be quoted for any desired probability level, several examples of which are  that could be explained by random error.
                 shown in Table 4.11. For reasons that will be discussed later in the chapter, a
                 95% confidence interval frequently is reported.
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