Page 236 - Modern Spatiotemporal Geostatistics
P. 236

11


        MULTIPOINT           ANALYTICAL
        FORMULATIONS


                  "Science  begins  with  myths and  with  the criticism  of  myths."
                                                                 K.  Popper

        The    Basic   Multipoint      BME     Equations

        The  modern  spatiotemporal  geostatistics  model  is built  upon  three fundamen-
        tal  postulates that  may be termed  the  spatiotemporal  physical  geometry  rela-
        tionships,  the  epistemic  (observer-observed)  paradigm,  and the  ontological
        (context-dependent)  knowledge  bases.  Before  our  image of the  BME  concept
        becomes  clouded  with  more analytical  and computational  formulations  in  the
        remaining sections,  it  is worth summarizing its  main  stages.  In a nutshell,  the
        main  stages of  the  BME  conception  of  scientific  mapping  are as follows:
          1.  We  set  up the  basic  BME  equations using whatever  sources of  knowledge
            (general  and  specificatory)  are available.
          2.  We solve the  BME equations and see if they  lead to  experimentally  verified
            predictions.  If the  predictions  are verified,  this  means that  our  knowledge
            bases that  led to  these predictions  were sufficiently  accurate and  detailed
            enough  for  our purposes.
          3.  If the  predictions  are not  verified,  this  means that there  may be unknown
            physical  influences which  are relevant  and which  should  be sought  at  the
            ontological  level.
            Working along the  lines of scientific  reasoning proposed by modern spatio-
        temporal  geostatistics,  in this  chapter  we derive  analytical  results for  various
        multipoint  BME  mapping  scenarios.  The  basic  BME  equations  of  multipoint
        spatiotemporal  mapping  are summarized in Table  11.1  (equation  numbers used
        in  previous  chapters  are  included  in  the  table;  parameters  and  the  operators
        A,  B,  D,  and E, s  are defined  in  Table  6.1 on  p.  133).  These  equations  offer

                                       217
   231   232   233   234   235   236   237   238   239   240   241