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16                                                                 PART 1   Perspective


        chain(s). W. Edwards Deming and Walter Shewhart clearly understood this concept with
        respect to the quality a company can produce. Deming and Shewhart taught process con-
        trol and continuous improvement for years in the United States. Because  American
        industry did not realize the impact that these critical tools could have on the bottom line,
        Deming eventually went to Japan. The rest, as they say, is history. Several years before his
        death, Deming came back to this country, and finally, the market was ready to listen.
        Reducing variation is core to the six sigma process-improvement approach.
        Understanding and dealing with variability are even more important today because vari-
        ability and volatility are on a dramatic rise.
             Recently, companies have been caught between a rock and a hard place with regard
        to solving the conflict inherent in the preceding three questions. In the last decade, many
        companies, in the attempt to embrace lean concepts, including the dramatic reduction of
        inventory everywhere, leaned out so much that they actually exposed themselves to
        increased variability and volatility. By treating inventory as a waste, they actually expe-
        rienced the opposite effect and made their supply chains too brittle and less agile.
             Variability can be systematically minimized and managed but not eliminated. The
        biggest challenge in attacking all the causes for variability and minimizing their individ-
        ual impact on the system is the investment of time, effort, and money to get there and the
        return on that investment. The six sigma toolset provides an excellent approach to reduce
        variability, but even the best master black belt cannot totally eliminate variability. This is
        not to say that companies should not seek to use these tools that identify and dampen the
        variability noise. These tools, however, are complementary rather than primary to the
        materials planning function.
             So how are variability and volatility addressed in a way that keeps a company agile
        while at the same time minimizing working capital considerations? There are four dis-
        tinct sources of variation (two internal and two external) from an enterprise perspective.
        These four sources are diagrammed in Figure 2-3 and discussed below. The squiggly lines
        are meant to depict variations that occur within each of those four areas. The direction of
        the arrow is meant to depict the direction in which variation is passed.


           FIGURE 2-3                               Self-Imposed Variability

           The four sources
           of variation.
                                 Supply Variability   Management          Demand Variability




                                                       Operations


                                               Normal/Random Operational Variability
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